Match Info

Cyprus League - Relegation Group - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Ethnikos Achnas (Achna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2


	Ethnikos Achna		Anorthosis

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.45	3.85
	1.94	3.64	4.17
	1.59	3.96	5.28	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.8
	1.86	3.55	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.63)	3.58 ↑ (3.52)	4.21 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethnikos Achna
51.6%

Draw
26.1%

Anorthosis
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.4%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

25.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ethnikos Achna's performance.

Anorthosis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anorthosis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ethnikos Achna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anorthosis than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anorthosis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Ethnikos Achna - Anorthosis Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Anorthosis will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ethnikos Achna: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ethnikos Achna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Toumpas I. (G) 29. Bahanack P. 27. Confais A. 70. Giousis C. 12. Lomotey E. 5. Luis Felipe 20. Machado L. 77. Neneco 30. Papageorgiou G. 10. Pechlivanis M. 99. Siverio J.	28. Karlstrom J. (G) 20. Aboagye C. 88. Chrysostomou A. 27. Dione B. 45. Gabriel Furtado 48. Ioannou M. 23. Katelaris F. 5. Kiko 19. Rafa Lopes 2. Thandi S. 44. Tosic N.
Substitutes
80. Angelopoulos G. N. 64. Camacho R. 14. Dimitriou M. 40. Flores L. (G) 44. Giallouros N. 17. Gonzalez P. 8. Maia M. 37. Ofori R. 72. Papakonstantinou N. (G) 24. Psaltis P.	57. Charalambous E. 77. Da Cruz A. 70. Ilia M. 21. Kiss T. 36. Middendorp S. 1. Panagi K. (G) 51. Panagi S. (G) 33. Schattin T. 32. Sosa Vivaldi F. E. 9. Vukic S.
Coaches
Mihajlovic V.	Camoranesi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Papageorgiou G. 🟨,
28', Siverio J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Aboagye C. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Giousis C. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Siverio J. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
70', Katelaris F. ↓, Charalambous E. ↑,
70', Aboagye C. ↓, Kiss T. ↑,
78', (Penalty Awarded),
85', Confais A. ↓, Angelopoulos G. N. ↑,
85', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Camacho R. ↑,
88', Dione B. ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
90+3', Chrysostomou A. ↓, Middendorp S. ↑,
90+6', Neneco 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 1.

Ethnikos Achna has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Anorthosis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Anorthosis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ethnikos Achna is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Anorthosis: Artymatas K. (Injury) Da Cruz A. (Inactive) Ilia M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethnikos Achna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Anorthosis	4	1	0	3	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division
22.03.26	AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Ethnikos Achna	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ethnikos Achna - Omonia Aradippou	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Apollon Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL
- Anorthosis Famagusta
Cypriot First Division
21.03.26	Anorthosis - Akritas Chlorakas	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Anorthosis - Apollon Limassol	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	APOEL - Anorthosis	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Anorthosis - Enosis Neon Paralimni	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Paphos - Anorthosis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
11.01.26	Anorthosis - Ethnikos Achna	1:0
20.09.25	Ethnikos Achna - Anorthosis	2:0
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Ethnikos Achna - Anorthosis	1:1
Cypriot First Division
31.03.25	Anorthosis - Ethnikos Achna	2:0
13.01.25	Anorthosis - Ethnikos Achna	2:1
Club Friendly
11.10.24	Anorthosis - Ethnikos Achna	0:0
Cypriot First Division
28.09.24	Ethnikos Achna - Anorthosis	2:2

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