The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
APOEL 58.2%
Draw 24.1%
RFS 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
24.6%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
24.2%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
5.6%
5.6%
APOEL - RFS Predictions
Users Predictions:
APOEL will win
(31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.03% โ 99.11%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Belec V. (C) 29. Chebake I. 3. Petrovic R. 5. Dvali L. 19. Quintilla X. 7. Meyer M. 8. Tejera S. 10. Marquinhos 44. Sarfo K. 77. Ndongala D. 9. El Arabi Y.
40. Ondoa F. (G) 23. Prenga H. 2. Balodis D. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 11. Savalnieks R. 27. Markhiev A. 26. Panic S. 8. Odisharia L. 7. Diomande I. 9. Ikaunieks J. 17. Kouadio C.
Substitutes
22. Christodoulou A. (G) 4. Cipriano 30. Corbu M. 11. Donis A. 20. Drazic S. 23. Kattirtzis P. 70. Kostadinov G. 34. Laifis K. 78. Michos S. (G) 35. Polykarpou P. 18. Satsias G. 16. Susic M.
10. Emerson Deocleciano 49. Kigurs M. 15. Ndjiki R. 30. Njie H. 3. Osuagwu V. 77. Silagadze L. 1. Steinbors P. (G) 21. Stuglis E. 16. Vilkovs S. (G)
Coaches
Dominguez J.
Morozs V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Diomande I. ↓, Ndjiki R. ↑,
23', Markhiev A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Ikaunieks J. ⚽, Savalnieks R. (A),
44', Chebake I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Ikaunieks J. 🟨,
53', Marquinhos ↓, Donis A. ↑,
53', Chebake I. ↓, Susic M. ↑,
56', Prenga H. 🟨,
60', Odisharia L. 🟨,
65', Meyer M. ↓, Drazic S. ↑,
67', Kouadio C. ↓, Osuagwu V. ↑,
67', Kouadio C. 🟨,
67', Belec V. 🟨,
68', Ndjiki R. ↓, Emerson Deocleciano ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Susic M. ⚽, Ndongala D. (A),
80', Tejera S. ↓, Kostadinov G. ↑,
90+1', Petrovic R. 🟨,
90+2', Osuagwu V. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Donis A. ⚽, Susic M. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
94', Lipuscek Z. 🟨,
98', Donis A. 🟨,
106', Petrovic R. ↓, Cipriano ↑,
108', Kigurs M. 🟨,
110', Emerson Deocleciano ↓, Silagadze L. ↑,
110', Odisharia L. ↓, Stuglis E. ↑,
113', Ndongala D. ↓, Corbu M. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Ikaunieks J. (Pen),
1, El Arabi Y. (Pen),
2, Lipuscek Z. (Pen),
2, Sarfo K. (Pen),
3, Prenga H. (Pen),
3, Quintilla X. (Pen),
4, Panic S. (Pen),
4, Dvali L. (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
Recent matches APOEL is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
RFS is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
APOEL could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match APOEL is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches APOEL won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.