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Riga vs RFS Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, June 17, 2026)

Match Info

Virsliga - Round 18

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Riga		RFS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.30	2.75
	2.40	3.05	2.75	Watch
	2.19	3.55	3.25
	2.43	3.37	2.76	Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.90
	2.20	3.55	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.34	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.39)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	2.87 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
40.4%

Draw
27.6%

RFS
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.3%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RFS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Orols F. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 33. Paulo Eduardo 13. Jurkovskis R. 40. Ankrah A. 7. Aouani R. 5. Wassom K. 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 4. Galo O. 19. Badamosi M.	16. Nerugals J. (G) 21. Dusalijevs N. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 6. Filipovic A. 18. Zelenkovs D. 11. Savalnieks R. 66. Saidy M. 26. Panic S. 77. Mankenda G. 20. Emenike K.
Substitutes
99. Caio Ferreira 22. Diop M. 8. Iago Siqueira 70. Juan Christian 44. Kazainis M. (G) 21. Musah B. 10. Reginaldo Ramires 17. Salazar A. 1. Zviedris K. (G)	49. Kigurs M. 99. Kumater S. 40. Kuprins A. (G) 22. Lemajic D. 30. Njie H. 81. Rakic S. 5. Sliede N. 70. Talla M. 4. Veips R.
Coaches
Gula A.	Morozs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Aouani R. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Galo O. ⚽, Oulad M'Hand S. (A),
45+4', Panic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Savalnieks R. ↓, Talla M. ↑,
46', Dusalijevs N. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
64', Emenike K. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Talla M. ⚽, Filipovic A. (A),
68', Lipuscek Z. 🟨,
68', Galo O. 🟨,
68', Badamosi M. 🟨,
68', Mankenda G. 🟨,
70', Gula A. 🟨,
71', Aouani R. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
71', Jurkovskis R. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
76', Mankenda G. ↓, Veips R. ↑,
76', Filipovic A. ↓, Njie H. ↑,
77', Lemajic D. 🟨,
78', Oulad M'Hand S. ↓, Musah B. ↑,
87', Badamosi M. ↓, Reginaldo Ramires ↑,
90+2', Njie H. 🟨,
90+2', Reginaldo Ramires 🟨,
90+3', Wassom K. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 2.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riga won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Riga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	RFS	25	21	2	2	62:17	45	65
2	Riga FC	25	20	4	1	76:21	55	64

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
13.06.26	Ogre United - Riga	1:4 ✺
29.05.26	Riga - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Riga - Super Nova	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	Tukums 2000 - Riga	1:3 ✺
16.05.26	Riga - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWT
- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
13.06.26	Grobiņa - RFS	1:3 ✺
29.05.26	Super Nova - RFS	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	RFS - Tukums 2000	3:1 ✺
21.05.26	RFS - Jelgava	4:0 ✺
17.05.26	Auda Riga - RFS	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
28.04.26	RFS - Riga	3:3
07.11.25	Riga - RFS	3:4
25.09.25	RFS - Riga	0:0
18.06.25	Riga - RFS	3:1
26.04.25	RFS - Riga	0:1
Latvian Super Cup
01.03.25	RFS - Riga	3:1
Latvian Virsliga
10.11.24	RFS - Riga	1:2

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