Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 10 May 2026, SundayLocation: Stade Amahoro (Kigali)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
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APR |
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Kigali |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.41 |
3.95 |
6.7 |
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 |
1.45 |
3.81 |
6.17 |
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 |
1.49 |
3.81 |
6.46 |
 Watch |
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1.43 |
3.92 |
6.79 |
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1.33 |
4.2 |
7.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.33) |
3.94 ↓
(4.2) |
6.72 ↓
(7.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
APR
63.6% | Draw
23% | Kigali
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
APR has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for APR than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for APR, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-2.2%)APR - Kigali Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APR won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Kigali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, APR is the undeniable favorite.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, APR won 4 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, APR won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
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| 16 | Kigali FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 28.11.25 | Kigali - APR | 1:1 | | 16.02.25 | APR - Kigali | 2:1 | | 01.12.24 | Kigali - APR | 0:1 | | 05.04.24 | Kigali - APR | 2:2 | | 25.11.23 | APR - Kigali | 1:1 | | 29.04.23 | APR - Kigali | 1:1 | | 08.12.22 | Kigali - APR | 0:0 |
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