Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Umuganda Stadium (Gisenyi)


	Marines		Kigali

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.95	3.00
	2.12	2.35	4.67
	2.12	2.51	4.60	Watch
	2.09	2.30	4.60
	1.94	3.17	3.99	Watch
	2.04	2.70	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.07)	2.66 ↓ (3.04)	4.12 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marines
43.7%

Draw
34.2%

Kigali
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Marines - Kigali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Bizimana Y. ⚽, Sibomana S. (A),
45+3', 2 - 0, Niyibizi R. ⚽, Sibomana S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marines won 1.

Marines could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marines won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:31. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Marines won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.6:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Marines	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
16	Kigali FC	3	0	1	2	0:4	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Marines - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.43%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marines FC
Rwanda Premier League
30.05.26	Marines - Muhanga	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Marines - Musanze	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Marines - Etincelles	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Rayon Sports - Marines	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Bugesera - Marines	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLLW
- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
30.05.26	Kigali - Musanze	2:1
22.05.26	Rutsiro - Kigali	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Kigali - Gicumbi	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	APR - Kigali	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Gorilla - Kigali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
17.04.26	Marines - Kigali	0:1
18.10.25	Kigali - Marines	1:0
27.05.25	Marines - Kigali	0:1
06.11.24	Kigali - Marines	1:2
18.02.24	Kigali - Marines	2:1
11.10.23	Marines - Kigali	0:1
21.01.23	Kigali - Marines	3:0

Marines - Kigali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide