Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 21

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	AS Police de Bamako		Korofina

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.87	2.8
	2.37	2.8	3.1
	2.33	2.73	3.1
	2.38	2.89	3.09	Watch
	2.33	2.89	3.09	Watch
	2.37	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.43)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)	3.05 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AS Police de Bamako
38.3%

Draw
32%

Korofina
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

31.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.7%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AS Police de Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Korofina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Police de Bamako than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korofina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

AS Police de Bamako - Korofina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AS Police won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AS Police won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Police de Bamako
Malian Première Division
05.05.25	Binga - AS Police de Bamako	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	AS Police de Bamako - Bakaridjan	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Bougouni - AS Police de Bamako	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	AS Police de Bamako - Diarra	4:1 ✺
28.03.25	Bougouba - AS Police de Bamako	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWWW
- AS Korofina
Malian Première Division
07.05.25	Korofina - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Korofina - Binga	1:4 ✺
20.04.25	Bakaridjan - Korofina	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Korofina - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Diarra - Korofina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
15.01.25	Korofina - AS Police de Bamako	0:1
23.02.24	AS Police de Bamako - Korofina	0:3
11.11.23	Korofina - AS Police de Bamako	0:1
09.07.23	AS Police de Bamako - Korofina	0:0

AS Police de Bamako - Korofina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide