Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 16

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Bougouba		AS Police de Bamako

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.4
	2.03	3	3.6
	2.03	3.07	3.71	Watch
	2.08	3.12	3.74	Watch
	2.03	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	3.61 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouba
44.8%

Draw
30%

AS Police de Bamako
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

29.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

AS Police de Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Police de Bamako than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Bougouba - AS Police de Bamako Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 12).

Recent matches Bougouba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AS Police is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bougouba will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bougouba won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Bougouba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouba
Malian Première Division
16.03.25	Korofina - Bougouba	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Bougouba - Binga	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Bougouba - Stade Malien	2:3 ✺
18.02.25	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Bougouni - Bougouba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLWL
- AS Police de Bamako
Malian Première Division
15.03.25	AS Police de Bamako - Onze Créateurs	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Stade Malien - AS Police de Bamako	3:0 ✺
19.02.25	USFAS Bamako - AS Police de Bamako	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	AS Police de Bamako - Étoiles du Mandé	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Afrique Football Elite - AS Police de Bamako	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
06.12.24	AS Police de Bamako - Bougouba	0:2
04.05.24	AS Police de Bamako - Bougouba	2:1
23.12.23	Bougouba - AS Police de Bamako	2:0

Bougouba - AS Police de Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide