Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 22

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA
World	FIFA+


	Diarra		Korofina

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.72	2.58
	2.47	2.44	3.03
	2.68	2.39	3.39	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.4
	2.74	2.89	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.79)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)	2.78 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diarra
33.1%

Draw
34.5%

Korofina
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

35.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

35.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Korofina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korofina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Diarra - Korofina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 7)

Recent performances by Diarra have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Korofina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Diarra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diarra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	8	44
7	Korofina	26	9	6	11	28:31	-3	33

Last Results with these Odds

Korofina - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.32%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
22.05.26	Real Bamako - Diarra	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Diarra - Derby Académie	1:4 ✺
Coupe du Mali
07.05.26	USFAS Bamako - Diarra	0:1 ✺
Malian Première Division
03.05.26	Diarra - Binga	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Bakaridjan - Diarra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWW
- AS Korofina
Malian Première Division
19.05.26	Korofina - Binga	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Bakaridjan - Korofina	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Korofina - USFAS Bamako	0:3 ✺
16.04.26	Mali Coura - Korofina	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Korofina - Stade Malien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
15.01.26	Korofina - Diarra	1:2
27.03.25	Diarra - Korofina	0:0
06.12.24	Korofina - Diarra	1:0

Diarra - Korofina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide