Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la SONABEL (Ouagadougou)


	AS SONABEL		USFA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.24	2.87	2.29	Watch
	3.26	2.78	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	2.83 ↑ (2.79)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AS SONABEL
28%

Draw
32.3%

USFA
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

32.5%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

31.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AS SONABEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

USFA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS SONABEL than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFA than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

AS SONABEL - USFA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+5', 1 - 0, Ouedraogo V. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Ouattara J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SONABEL won 1.

In recent matches, SONABEL has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

USFA is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

USFA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SONABEL won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, SONABEL won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	USFA	3	3	0	0	6:0	6	9
10	Sonabel Ouagadougou	3	1	0	2	4:4	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS SONABEL
Burkina Faso Premier League
22.02.26	Salimata et Taséré - AS SONABEL	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	AS SONABEL - Sporting Cascades	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	AS SONABEL - RDF	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	AJEB - AS SONABEL	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	AS SONABEL - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWLT
- USFA
Burkina Faso Premier League
22.02.26	USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	USFA - ASFA Yennenga	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - USFA	2:4 ✺
01.02.26	USFA - AS Douanes	2:2 ✺
26.01.26	Vitesse - USFA	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
24.11.25	USFA - AS SONABEL	2:0
11.10.24	USFA - AS SONABEL	2:3
17.04.24	AS SONABEL - USFA	1:1
10.01.24	USFA - AS SONABEL	1:1
13.01.23	AS SONABEL - USFA	1:1
22.12.22	USFA - AS SONABEL	0:1
13.03.22	AS SONABEL - USFA	1:1

AS SONABEL - USFA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide