Match Info

MAURITANIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	ASAC Concorde		Police

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.37	5.12
	1.59	3.54	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	5.41 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASAC Concorde
57%

Draw
26.2%

Police
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

16.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASAC Concorde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASAC Concorde than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ASAC Concorde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Police could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches ASAC Concorde is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Police has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match ASAC Concorde is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches ASAC Concorde won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams ASAC Concorde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASAC Concorde
Mauritania Ligue 1
19.03.23	ASAC Concorde - Nouadhibou	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Douanes Nouakchott - ASAC Concorde	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	ASAC Concorde - Gendrim	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Nouakchott Kings - ASAC Concorde	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	ASAC Concorde - Inter Nouakchott	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWTT
- ASC Police
Mauritania Ligue 1
01.04.23	Police - Kaédi	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Chemal - Police	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Ksar - Police	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Police - Trarza Medine	2:3 ✺
27.02.23	Nouadhibou - Police	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
23.11.22	Police - ASAC Concorde	0:2
08.05.22	ASAC Concorde - Police	2:0
23.12.21	Police - ASAC Concorde	2:1

ASAC Concorde - Police: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide