Match Info

ISL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan (Kolkata)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Jiocinema
World	Onefootball


	ATK Mohun Bagan		Bengaluru

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.5
	1.69	3.8	4.4
	1.69	3.85	4.68	Watch
	1.64	3.88	4.65	Watch
	1.69	3.8	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.79)	3.79 ↑ (3.65)	4.52 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ATK Mohun Bagan
55.2%

Draw
24.4%

Bengaluru
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.4%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25.1%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ATK Mohun Bagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bengaluru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ATK Mohun Bagan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bengaluru than the current prediction. (+2%)

ATK Mohun Bagan - Bengaluru Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaith V. (G) 44. Rai A. 5. Aldred T. 21. Rodriguez A. 15. Bose S. 6. Thapa A. 45. Apuia 11. Singh M. 35. Cummings J. 17. Colaco L. 29. Maclaren J.	1. Singh S. G. (G) 25. Bhutia N. 4. Singh C. 2. Bheke R. 32. Singh R. 10. Noguera A. 18. Capo P. 8. Wangjam S. 7. Williams R. 17. Mendez E. 11. Chhetri S.
Substitutes
72. Bhat S. 32. Biswas D. 19. Kuruniyan A. 9. Petratos D. 18. Samad S. 12. Singh M. (G) 10. Stewart G. 16. Suryavanshi A. 22. Tangri D.	23. Fanai L. 5. Jovanovic A. 9. Narayanan S. S. 6. Patre H. 30. Pereyra J. 28. Ralte L. (G) 12. Salah M. 29. Sing C. 31. Venkatesh V.
Coaches
Molina J.	Zaragoza G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. (Own goal),
60', Bhutia N. ↓, Fanai L. ↑,
62', Thapa A. ↓, Samad S. ↑,
62', Colaco L. ↓, Kuruniyan A. ↑,
68', Mendez E. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Cummings J. (Pen),
81', Cummings J. ↓, Stewart G. ↑,
85', Pereyra J. 🟨,
89', Capo P. 🟨,
90+1', Apuia 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Wangjam S. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
91', Bose S. ↓, Tangri D. ↑,
96', 2 - 1, Maclaren J. ⚽,
102', Maclaren J. ↓, Petratos D. ↑,
106', Tangri D. 🟨,
111', Stewart G. 🟨,
111', Kuruniyan A. 🟨,
114', Williams R. ↓, Narayanan S. S. ↑,
117', Singh R. ↓, Venkatesh V. ↑,
118', Narayanan S. S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mohun Bagan won 4.

Mohun Bagan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bengaluru is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bengaluru could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mohun Bagan is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Mohun Bagan won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 34:22 (average 1.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mohun Bagan won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:12 (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ATK Mohun Bagan
Indian ISL
07.04.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Jamshedpur	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Jamshedpur - ATK Mohun Bagan	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Goa	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Mumbai City - ATK Mohun Bagan	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Odisha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWTW
- Bengaluru FC
Indian ISL
06.04.25	Goa - Bengaluru	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Bengaluru - Goa	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Bengaluru - Mumbai City	5:0 ✺
11.03.25	Bengaluru - Mumbai City	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	East Bengal - Bengaluru	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
27.01.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Bengaluru	1:0
28.09.24	Bengaluru - ATK Mohun Bagan	3:0
Indian Durand Cup
27.08.24	ATK Mohun Bagan - Bengaluru	3:2 penalties
Indian ISL
11.04.24	Bengaluru - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:4
27.09.23	ATK Mohun Bagan - Bengaluru	1:0
18.03.23	ATK Mohun Bagan - Bengaluru	3:2 penalties
05.02.23	ATK Mohun Bagan - Bengaluru	1:2

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