Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	AVS		Farense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	2.80	3.10	2.25
	2.85	2.88	2.38
	3.5	3.3	2.25
	3.06	3.19	2.36	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.2
	3.22	3.22	2.23
	3.15	3.15	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.96)	3.15 ↑ (3.02)	2.25 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
29.5%

Draw
29.3%

Farense
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

30.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

30.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

AVS - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Tie (3.10) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebollo D. (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 3. Rosic L. 6. Ponck 28. Sousa A. 70. Roni (C) 88. Almeida F. 78. Andrey 10. Keita A. 9. Rodrigo Pinho 7. Neiva G.	97. Buntic F. (G) 78. Alex Pinto 37. Silva G. (C) 44. Zolotic N. 22. Herrero T. 15. Nduquidi J. 10. Singh S. 27. Mattheus 17. Candeias A. 9. Gabriel Barbosa 7. Resende J.
Substitutes
26. Conde B. 4. Davi Schuindt 77. Guga 80. Hiago Santos 8. Meireles J. 17. Ndo R. 49. Pimentel P. 19. Rafael 25. Raul Steffens (G) 22. Silva D. 30. Talles Wander	18. Cuba 3. D'Agrella L. 43. Dario Miranda 5. Da Rocha Borges R. 6. Derick Poloni 50. Kaua P. (G) 42. Laranjeira R. 19. Oliveira L. 88. Rafinha 1. Tannander J. (G) 70. Victor Barbara
Coaches
Fonseca S.	Jose Faria

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Roni ↓, Hiago Santos ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
54', Mateus Pivo ↓, Brasido D. ↑,
54', Andrey ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
58', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Cuba ↑,
65', Singh S. 🟨,
67', Rosic L. 🟨,
69', Candeias A. ↓, Derick Poloni ↑,
69', Resende J. ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
71', Nduquidi J. 🟨,
73', Almeida F. 🟨,
79', Keita A. ↓, Talles Wander ↑,
79', Neiva G. ↓, Ndo R. ↑,
89', Mattheus ↓, Oliveira L. ↑,
89', Alex Pinto ↓, Dario Miranda ↑,
90+1', Ndo R. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

AVS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AVS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SC Farense	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11
12	AFS	6	1	3	2	6:6	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

AVS - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.88%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
07.09.26	Lusitânia - AVS	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	AVS - Feirense	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Chaves - AVS	2:2 ✺
17.08.26	Felgueiras - AVS	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	AVS - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTTL
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
30.08.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Farense	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Farense - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Porto B - Farense	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Farense - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Farense - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
02.03.25	Farense - AVS	0:1
30.09.24	AVS - Farense	0:0

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