Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 4d 7h 📅 Remind Me


	Lusitânia		Farense

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.65	3.05	2.62
	2.67	3.25	2.71
	2.65	3.17	2.65	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.65
	2.6	3.1	2.64
	2.65	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.59)	3.12 ↑ (3.12)	2.64 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
35.2%

Draw
29.7%

Farense
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.7%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Lusitânia - Farense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga Portugal and 5th).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Farense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Farense has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Lusitânia has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1.3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lusitânia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lusitania FC	8	5	3	0	14:7	7	18
5	SC Farense	8	4	2	2	14:10	4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Farense - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
25.10.26	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.26	Lusitânia - Limianos	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.10.26	Lusitânia - Chaves	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Lusitânia - AVS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWTWW
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.26	Farense - Penafiel	1:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.26	Farense - Marco 09	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.10.26	Farense - Feirense	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Farense - Chaves	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	AVS - Farense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.03.26	Farense - Lusitânia	2:1
04.10.25	Lusitânia - Farense	1:2
Taça de Portugal
22.09.13	Farense - Lusitânia	3:2 penalties

Lusitânia - Farense