Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Derde Divisie - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	AWC		UNA

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.83
	3.21	3.68	1.9
	3.21	3.68	1.91
	3.38	3.79	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.23)	3.69 ↑ (3.62)	1.89 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AWC
27.6%

Draw
24.5%

UNA
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

24.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AWC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AWC's form might have worsened.

UNA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UNA's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AWC than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AWC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNA than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UNA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Born J. 🟥,
37', 1 - 0, Hubers Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 2 - 0, de Bruijn D. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Derde Divisie (Relegation) and 9).

Recent matches AWC is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UNA is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AWC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches AWC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV AWC
Dutch Derde Divisie
13.04.24	AWC - HSV Hoek	0:4 ✺
24.03.24	TEC - AWC	3:0 ✺
17.03.24	AWC - Groene Ster	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	HV & CV Quick - AWC	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	AWC - Baronie	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWWW
- VV UNA
Dutch Derde Divisie
13.04.24	UNA - Kloetinge	4:1 ✺
07.04.24	TOGB - UNA	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	UNA - TEC	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Groene Ster - UNA	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	UNA - BVV Barendrecht	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
19.11.23	UNA - AWC	1:1

AWC - UNA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide