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Current Win Probability
Ajax 67.8%
Draw 18.8%
AZ Alkmaar 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
74.2%
15.9%
9.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Ajax - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Liefting F. (G) 21. Thomas K. 4. Kees S. 5. Knol A. 2. Visscher A. 19. van Koppen M. 6. Noordam N. 8. Spitse S. 15. Touon E. 26. Kip X. 9. Snoeijs K.
13. Copier F. (G) 5. Groot P. 4. Verspaget A. 23. Stoop M. 24. de Vries E. 21. Van Uden J. 8. de Vette M. 6. van Beijeren J. 10. van Lunteren D. (C) 16. Harting A. 9. Ellouzi S.
Substitutes
24. De Klonia D. 3. Noordermeer D. 10. Smits J. 16. te Brake S. 1. van der Vliet D. (G) 12. van Hensbergen J.
18. Dessing S. 26. Oosterhof S. 29. Snoek J. 14. Van Eynde Z. 28. Visser A. (G) 11. Vos D.
Coaches
Bruil A.
Titaley J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Visscher A. ⚽,
30', Groot P. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Snoeijs K. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Snoeijs K. ⚽, Kees S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', de Vries E. ↓, Vos D. ↑,
46', Kip X. ↓, van Hensbergen J. ↑,
51', van Beijeren J. ↓, Snoek J. ↑,
62', 4 - 0, van Koppen M. ⚽,
67', Ellouzi S. ↓, Dessing S. ↑,
68', de Vette M. ↓, Van Eynde Z. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Stoop M. ⚽, Copier F. (A),
69', Snoeijs K. ↓, De Klonia D. ↑,
69', Thomas K. ↓, Smits J. ↑,
74', Visscher A. ↓, te Brake S. ↑,
79', Spitse S. ↓, Noordermeer D. ↑,
83', 5 - 1, Noordam N. ⚽,
84', Groot P. ↓, Oosterhof S. ↑,
86', Vos D. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: ) and 2nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.
In recent outings, Ajax has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
AZ Alkmaar shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The betting markets point to Ajax as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Ajax has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:7 (averaging 2.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ajax against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:5 goals (averaging 2.8:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Ajax W
7
6
0
1
20:6
14
18
4
AZ Alkmaar W
7
4
0
3
9:16
-7
12
Last Results with these Odds
Ajax - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 74.2%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.