The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 10.4%
Draw 16.7%
Twente 72.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.1%
18.8%
68.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.8%
18.3%
69.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
AZ Alkmaar - Twente Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Copier F. (G) 5. Groot P. 4. Verspaget A. 23. Stoop M. 2. Caprino G. 8. de Vette M. 21. Van Uden J. 10. van Lunteren D. (C) 18. Dessing S. 16. Harting A. 9. Ellouzi S.
1. Lemey D. (G) 25. Mol C. 4. Woons K. 3. Meijer F. 2. van der Vegt I. 8. van Ginkel D. 6. Groenewegen L. 14. Oude Elberink E. 10. Roord J. 11. Tromp N. 9. Ravensbergen J.
Substitutes
1. Booms N. (G) 26. De Visser A. 24. de Vries E. 15. Lakradi A. 27. Snoek J. 14. Van Eynde Z. 11. Vos D.
26. Biegel Esteves M. (G) 20. Gelevert A. 23. Kaagman I. 21. Koster M. 24. Munsterman M. 33. Van Kerkhoven E. 12. Vliek L. 15. Wiefferink J.
Coaches
Titaley J.
Dekker C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Oude Elberink E. ⚽, Roord J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
48', 0 - 2, Oude Elberink E. ⚽, Roord J. (A),
51', 0 - 3, Roord J. ⚽, Ravensbergen J. (A),
58', Meijer F. ↓, Munsterman M. ↑,
58', Tromp N. ↓, Vliek L. ↑,
60', 0 - 4, Roord J. ⚽,
63', van Lunteren D. 🟨,
68', van der Vegt I. ↓, Kaagman I. ↑,
69', Dessing S. ↓, Vos D. ↑,
69', Caprino G. ↓, Van Eynde Z. ↑,
73', Groenewegen L. ↓, Gelevert A. ↑,
73', Oude Elberink E. ↓, Van Kerkhoven E. ↑,
82', Ellouzi S. ↓, De Visser A. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 5, Ravensbergen J. ⚽, Vliek L. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: ) and 1st).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ Alkmaar won 0.
AZ Alkmaar has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Twente is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
The betting markets point to Twente as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:21 (averaging 0.9:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AZ Alkmaar against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:12 goals (averaging 0.6:2.4 per game).