Match Info

Champions League Women - Qualification - Third stage - Final

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Koge Stadion (Koge)

Referee: Augustyn E. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	HB Køge		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.40	3.50
	2.02	3.15	3.25
	2.04	3.46	3.40
	2.02	3.47	3.29	Watch
	1.93	3.50	3.45
	1.97	3.38	3.35
	1.94	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.23)	3.37 ↓ (3.54)	3.37 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
46%

Draw
27%

PSV Eindhoven
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

HB Køge - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Køge will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): HB Køge will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vingum A. (G) 3. Schultz M. 2. Uhre M. 28. Boye S. 32. Flick E. 17. Madsen R. 33. Jereko M. 23. Gejl M. (C) 11. Korhonen C. 7. Carusa K. 9. Nadim N.	1. Evrard N. (G) 2. Thrige S. 3. Hendriks G. 4. Rutgers M. 7. Marfo P. 8. Folkertsma S. 10. Ripa C. 17. Jacobs L. 30. Renfurm R. 19. Cayman J. (C) 18. Rijsbergen L.
Substitutes
25. Callesen A. 24. Hermann L. M. 66. Kozal L. (G) 30. Moller E. (G) 22. Oskarsdottir E. 13. Paulson C. 4. Sakabe Y. 27. Termansen A. 12. Thygesen S. 8. Wendicke M. 14. Williams S.	31. Akkermans K. (G) 16. Alkemade L. (G) 20. Altena A. 5. Bross M. 23. Chibani A. 25. Frijns E. 24. Funch J. 11. Hickelsberger-Fuller J. 6. Lacroix R. 43. Schippers B. 21. van de Sanden S.
Coaches
Rasmussen K.	Kurland K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Korhonen C. ⚽, Gejl M. (A),
56', Rutgers M. ↓, Altena A. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Rijsbergen L. ⚽, Jacobs L. (A),
69', Jacobs L. ↓, Funch J. ↑,
69', Ripa C. ↓, Hickelsberger-Fuller J. ↑,
74', Carusa K. ↓, Oskarsdottir E. ↑,
74', Madsen R. ↓, Paulson C. ↑,
82', Renfurm R. ↓, Bross M. ↑,
87', Rijsbergen L. 🟨,
90+1', Bross M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Køge has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

PSV is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

PSV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Køge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Køge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now

Koge W: 0.28%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Koge W	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge Women
Danish A-Liga Women
29.08.26	AGF Aarhus - HB Køge	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
26.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - HB Køge	0:1 ✺
Danish A-Liga Women
19.08.26	Brøndby - HB Køge	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	HB Køge - Odense Q	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
05.08.26	HB Køge - Riga	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- PSV Eindhoven Women
UEFA Champions League Women
26.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - HB Køge	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
22.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
05.08.26	SFK 2000 - PSV Eindhoven	2:3 ✺
Dutch Super Cup Women
31.07.26	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
26.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - HB Køge	0:1

HB Køge - PSV Eindhoven: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide