Match Info

DENMARK: ELITEDIVISIONEN WOMEN - ROUND 13

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aalborg		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.68
	4.4	3.65	1.63
	4.26	3.61	1.64
	4.27	3.61	1.65
	3.8	3.6	1.67
	4.6	3.86	1.6
	4.3	3.65	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.7)	3.65 ↑ (3.53)	1.65 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg
21.1%

Draw
24.5%

AGF Aarhus
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

25.8%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

24.9%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aalborg - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baun M. (G) 5. Boyan A. 12. Dayes M. 3. Gorman C. 6. Harvey K. 7. Holst C. 26. Hoydal P. 22. Mortensen J. 14. Petersen K. 13. Posada S. 8. Roelfsema M.	1. Svane K. (G) 8. Dyrehauge S. 2. Fremo T. 3. Green A. 15. Hogh M. 16. Lerche M. 25. Mathiasen J. 5. McNamara M. 4. Ross J. 6. Sundahl S. 13. Visalli B.
Substitutes
4. Andersen J. 31. Gaur T. (G) 24. Nantongo A. 20. Norlem N. 2. Simonsen E. 19. Skall E. 10. Winther J.	22. Gade M. (G) 7. Hoppe E. 88. Jorgensen S. 18. Nejmann E. 27. Olesen M. 10. Rasmussen M. 17. Spanner K.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Elitedivisionen Women (Relegation) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Elitedivisionen Women (Championship Group: )).

Aalborg is Elitedivisionen Women (Relegation)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 0.

Aalborg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aarhus is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aarhus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aarhus is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalborg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK Women
Danish A-Liga Women
23.11.23	Aalborg - Fortuna Hjørring	0:3 ✺
18.11.23	Nordsjælland - Aalborg	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Aalborg - Kolding	0:3 ✺
05.11.23	Thisted - Aalborg	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	Aalborg - Brøndby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- AGF Aarhus Women
Danish A-Liga Women
25.11.23	HB Køge - AGF Aarhus	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	AGF Aarhus - Thisted	1:3 ✺
12.11.23	Brøndby - AGF Aarhus	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	AGF Aarhus - Kolding	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish A-Liga Women
08.10.23	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg	2:0
10.06.23	Aalborg - AGF Aarhus	2:2
06.05.23	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg	3:2
07.05.22	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg	2:0
26.03.22	Aalborg - AGF Aarhus	0:1
20.11.21	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg	2:2
10.09.21	Aalborg - AGF Aarhus	0:1

Aalborg - AGF Aarhus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide