Match Info

1st Division - Round 4

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Iriskic F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	19:00	Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Viaplay
Norway	19:00	Viaplay
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay
Usa	13:00	SportsEngine Play


	Aalborg BK		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	2.05	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.15
	2.85	3.70	2.18
	3.06	3.81	2.26
	2.66	3.65	2.42	Watch
	3.00	3.75	2.15
	3.14	3.55	2.13	Watch
	2.90	3.45	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.7)	3.6 ↑ (3.1)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
31.5%

Draw
25.9%

Fredericia
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

29.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Aalborg BK - Fredericia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Fredericia will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 25. Borsting F. (C) 33. Makolli E. 24. Arnorsson N. A. 5. Nielsen M. 17. Jasson A. 23. Kaasa M. 7. Adedeji J. 8. Hapnes A. 11. Normann K. 19. Nwadik B.	90. Birkso V. (G) 12. Crone S. 4. Kudsk J. 5. Rieper F. (C) 16. Dauerhoj L. 14. Dahl A. 20. Haarbo D. 11. Hansborg E. 24. Jorgensen C. 7. Lyng A. 17. Thomsen N.
Substitutes
26. Bonde M. 40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 9. Helenius N. 27. John K. 14. Kubel M. 28. Moller V. 15. Olsson C. 16. Persyn T. 30. Thomsen W.	22. Bunten F. 9. Egelund P. 15. Ladefoged M. 23. Lindekilde J. 3. Nygaard A. 44. Risom C. (G) 10. Simonsen E. 21. Vest O. 6. Winther F.
Coaches
Hojer S.	Hansen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Hansborg E. ↓, Simonsen E. ↑,
46', Muller V. ↓, Gronkjaer B. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Rieper F. ⚽, Lyng A. (A),
56', Adedeji J. ↓, Kubel M. ↑,
56', Normann K. ↓, Moller V. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Lyng A. ⚽, Crone S. (A),
61', Dahl A. ↓, Winther F. ↑,
61', Lyng A. ↓, Lindekilde J. ↑,
67', Kaasa M. ↓, Thomsen W. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Simonsen E. ⚽, Thomsen N. (A),
74', Crone S. ↓, Nygaard A. ↑,
78', Jasson A. 🟨,
82', Jasson A. ↓, Persyn T. ↑,
84', Haarbo D. ↓, Bunten F. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fredericia	12	5	5	2	18:8	10	20
7	Aalborg	12	3	5	4	15:17	-2	14

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Fredericia: 16.92% Aalborg: 2.49%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
09.08.26	Aalborg BK - Kolding IF	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Holstebro - Aalborg BK	1:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Aalborg BK - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Aalborg BK - Silkeborg IF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWL
- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
09.08.26	Fredericia - Vendsyssel	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	SfB-Oure - Fredericia	0:6 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.07.26	AB Copenhagen - Fredericia	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Fredericia - HB Køge	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Esbjerg - Fredericia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Landspokal Cup
19.09.24	Fredericia - Aalborg BK	1:4
Danish 1 Division
17.05.24	Aalborg BK - Fredericia	1:0
25.04.24	Fredericia - Aalborg BK	2:1
01.03.24	Fredericia - Aalborg BK	2:3
Danish Landspokal Cup
26.09.23	Aalborg BK - Fredericia	2:3
Danish 1 Division
06.08.23	Aalborg BK - Fredericia	4:0
Club Friendly
13.01.23	Aalborg BK - Fredericia	2:2

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