Match Info

1st Division - Round 3

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Riisvangen (Aarhus)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aarhus Fremad		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.80	4.50
	1.65	3.75	4.40
	1.64	3.90	4.50
	1.67	4.10	4.87
	1.67	3.99	4.64	Watch
	1.72	3.70	4.70
	1.71	3.81	4.52	Watch
	1.63	3.75	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)	3.85 ↑ (3.66)	4.59 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus Fremad
55.7%

Draw
24.1%

HB Køge
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge Predictions

Users Predictions: Aarhus Fremad will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hojbjerg V. (G) 8. Baekgard S. 10. Kirchheiner M. (C) 33. Ludwig A. 4. Pisani A. 15. Nygaard C. 11. Lunding K. 6. Grube F. 27. Kirchheiner M. 7. Kaastrup M. 28. Egerton E.	1. Sommergaard N. (G) 8. Romer M. 22. Jakobsen M. 4. Hald S. 14. Sorensen V. 7. Jensen M. (C) 24. Schutt M. 6. Brodersen R. 19. Semovski E. 9. Thomsen T. 11. Warming M.
Substitutes
70. Beluli J. 17. Bernasko Appu D. 21. de Claville M. 13. de Paoli V. (G) 20. Hjaltason O. 2. Kjolby M. 14. Ronnberg L. 12. Ryberg M.	17. Achton L. 21. Jakobsen N. 10. Jensen Tue C. 28. Larsen G. 16. Mols C. (G) 27. Stolshoj N. 30. Villumsen E.
Coaches
Damgaard M.	Pedersen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kaastrup M. ⚽, Egerton E. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Kaastrup M. ⚽, Egerton E. (A),
31', Thomsen T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Pisani A. (Own goal),
55', Baekgard S. ↓, J. Østergård ↑,
58', Schutt M. ↓, Larsen G. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Ludwig A. ⚽, Kaastrup M. (A),
63', Lunding K. ↓, Ryberg M. ↑,
69', Brodersen R. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
69', Semovski E. ↓, Jensen Tue C. ↑,
79', Warming M. ↓, Stolshoj N. ↑,
79', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Kjolby M. ↑,
79', Sorensen V. ↓, Achton L. ↑,
79', Nygaard C. ↓, Hjaltason O. ↑,
80', Egerton E. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,

Preview

Aarhus Fremad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Køge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Køge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aarhus Fremad has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aarhus Fremad is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus Fremad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Aarhus Fremad: 3.94% Koge: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aarhus Fremad	9	3	4	2	10:9	1	13
11	Koge	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division
31.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Hobro - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Brabrand	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Aarhus Fremad - Brann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWL
- HB Køge
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Brønshøj BK - HB Køge	1:0 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.07.26	HB Køge - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Fredericia - HB Køge	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - HB Køge	Canceled ✺
11.07.26	HB Køge - Roskilde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLL?W

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
09.05.26	Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge	0:0
06.04.26	HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad	2:0
23.11.25	Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge	2:2
25.07.25	HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad	2:1

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