Match Info

1st Division - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Riisvangen (Aarhus)

Referee: Klarlund F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aarhus Fremad		Esbjerg

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.81	3.79
	1.88	3.77	3.46	Watch
	1.9	3.76	3.55	Watch
	1.82	3.8	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	3.76 ↓ (3.8)	3.62 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus Fremad
49.4%

Draw
24.8%

Esbjerg
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

24.3%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

23.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus Fremad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Aarhus Fremad - Esbjerg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kiilerich K. (G) 10. Kirchheiner M. (C) 5. Nissen E. 33. Callo L. 6. Grube F. 27. Kirchheiner M. 8. Baekgard S. 3. Agnarsson M. 17. Kubel M. 9. Andersen K. 7. Kaastrup M.	21. McCrorie R. (G) 4. Tjornelund P. 15. Stagaard T. 5. Troelsen A. 19. Strand S. 6. Vigen L. (C) 18. Hansen M. 8. Maden M. 12. Lausen A. 10. Gyamfi R. 80. Brajanac M.
Substitutes
70. Beluli J. 21. de Claville Berthelsen M. 28. Egerton E. 20. Hjaltason O. 30. Hojbjerg V. (G) 16. Holvad A. 15. Nygaard C. 41. Ostergaard J. 4. Pisani A.	9. Ankersen J. 27. Baldursson B. 32. Blicher N. 2. Buus J. 14. Kolawole J. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 40. Larsen E. 17. Lucena J. 39. Strandby N.
Coaches
Dahm Kjaergaard M.	Manoharan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Stagaard T. ⚽, Lausen A. (A),
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Hansen M. ↓, Buus J. ↑,
60', Gyamfi R. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
65', Stagaard T. 🟨,
67', Baekgard S. ↓, Egerton E. ↑,
67', Nissen E. ↓, de Claville Berthelsen M. ↑,
71', 🟨,
76', Maden M. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
77', Lausen A. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
77', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
85', 🟨,
88', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
88', Agnarsson M. ↓, Ostergaard J. ↑,
90', Vigen L. ↓, Baldursson B. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Esbjerg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aarhus Fremad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus Fremad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division
19.10.25	Lyngby BK - Aarhus Fremad	3:3 ✺
04.10.25	Aarhus Fremad - B.93 Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Aarhus Fremad - Hobro	1:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
20.09.25	Aarhus Fremad - Hobro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLW
- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
16.10.25	Esbjerg - Hobro	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Kolding IF - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
23.09.25	Ringsted - Esbjerg	0:1 ✺
Danish 1 Division
20.09.25	Horsens - Esbjerg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
28.09.25	Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad	1:1
Danish 2 Division
18.05.24	Aarhus Fremad - Esbjerg	2:0
26.04.24	Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad	0:1
24.03.24	Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad	2:2
14.10.23	Aarhus Fremad - Esbjerg	2:4
21.05.23	Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad	3:1
14.05.23	Aarhus Fremad - Esbjerg	1:3

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