Match Info

1st Division - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Riisvangen (Aarhus)

Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aarhus Fremad		Hvidovre

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.35	3.40	2.60
	2.45	3.45	2.65
	2.62	3.5	2.67
	2.36	3.47	2.85	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.6
	2.57	3.43	2.57	Watch
	2.4	3.35	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	2.63 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus Fremad
37.6%

Draw
27.1%

Hvidovre
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.6%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus Fremad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hvidovre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hvidovre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Aarhus Fremad - Hvidovre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hojbjerg V. (G) 6. Grube F. 10. Kirchheiner M. (C) 33. Ludwig A. 4. Pisani A. 15. Nygaard C. 11. Lunding K. 28. Egerton E. 12. Ryberg M. 7. Kaastrup M. 9. Andreasen S.	1. Djukic F. (G) 77. Njai A. 15. Iljazovski A. 25. Kiilerich M. (C) 23. Clausen N. 3. Jensen Juul O. 7. Prip L. 8. Jensen O. 14. Kjaergaard O. 10. Smed A. 11. Bagou D.
Substitutes
18. Abdullahi Y. 70. Beluli J. 17. Bernasko Appu D. 21. de Claville M. 13. de Paoli V. (G) 20. Hjaltason O. 2. Kjolby M. 23. Kristjansson I. 22. Ostergaard J.	24. Aby E. 4. Aliji Z. 22. Huygevelde N. 19. Johansen A. 18. Knudsen M. 6. Okosun A. 29. Ravn A. (G) 26. Risnaes R. 2. Stenderup D.
Coaches
Damgaard M.	Retov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Bagou D. ⚽,
37', Pisani A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Nygaard C. ⚽,
56', Nygaard C. 🟨,
60', Jensen Juul O. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
60', Jensen O. ↓, Huygevelde N. ↑,
64', Nygaard C. ↓, Ostergaard J. ↑,
65', Kirchheiner M. 🟨,
65', Bagou D. ↓, Aby E. ↑,
72', Ryberg M. ↓, de Claville M. ↑,
78', Njai A. ↓, Okosun A. ↑,
79', Smed A. ↓, Johansen A. ↑,
80', de Claville M. 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Johansen A. ⚽,
84', Egerton E. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
84', Lunding K. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
90', Okosun A. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Huygevelde N. ⚽, Johansen A. (A),
90+2', Johansen A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Aarhus Fremad may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Aarhus Fremad has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aarhus Fremad against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hvidovre IF: 25.46% Aarhus Fremad: 3.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hvidovre IF	9	6	3	0	18:9	9	21
4	Aarhus Fremad	9	3	4	2	10:9	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Aarhus Fremad - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.58%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus Fremad
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 penalties ✺
Danish 1 Division
11.09.26	Vendsyssel - Aarhus Fremad	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Aarhus Fremad - Kolding IF	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Aarhus Fremad - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Fredericia - Aarhus Fremad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWTT
- Hvidovre IF
Danish 1 Division
12.09.26	Hvidovre - Aalborg BK	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Hobro - Hvidovre	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Hvidovre - Fredericia	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	AB Copenhagen - Hvidovre	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	HB Køge - Hvidovre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
01.11.25	Aarhus Fremad - Hvidovre	0:0
15.08.25	Hvidovre - Aarhus Fremad	2:0
Danish 2 Division - Promotion Group
01.06.17	Aarhus Fremad - Hvidovre	3:1
18.03.17	Hvidovre - Aarhus Fremad	0:0
04.06.16	Aarhus Fremad - Hvidovre	2:1

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