Match Info

Date: 18 June 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Academia Anzoátegui		Libertador

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.89	3.05	3.4
	1.78	3.29	4.08
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.9	3.22	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.3)	3.17 ↑ (3.08)	3.83 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academia Anzoátegui
48.1%

Draw
28.4%

Libertador
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

29.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academia Anzoátegui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Academia Anzoátegui's performance.

Libertador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Academia Anzoátegui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertador than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Academia Anzoátegui - Libertador Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Anzoátegui will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Libertador will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anzoátegui: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Championship Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Championship Group)).

Academia Anzoátegui in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Libertador is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Academia Anzoátegui will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Academia Anzoátegui won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Anzoátegui
Venezuelan Segunda Division
11.06.22	Deportivo Nueva Esparta - Academia Anzoátegui	0:2 ✺
28.05.22	Academia Anzoátegui - Deportivo Nueva Esparta	2:1 ✺
21.05.22	Libertador - Academia Anzoátegui	0:0 ✺
08.05.22	Fundación AIFI - Academia Anzoátegui	0:2 ✺
30.04.22	Academia Anzoátegui - Bolivar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWTWW
- Libertador FC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
11.06.22	Libertador - Dynamo Puerto	2:0 ✺
29.05.22	Dynamo Puerto - Libertador	1:1 ✺
21.05.22	Libertador - Academia Anzoátegui	0:0 ✺
14.05.22	Libertador - Fundación AIFI	2:4 ✺
07.05.22	Yaracuyanos - Libertador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Segunda Division
21.05.22	Libertador - Academia Anzoátegui	0:0

Academia Anzoátegui - Libertador