Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Academica Recea		Petrolul Ploieşti

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.5
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	5.4	3.7	1.52
	5	3.95	1.53
	5.69	4.1	1.54
	5.5	3.75	1.52
	5.1	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↑ (3.56)	3.87 ↑ (3.4)	1.52 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academica Recea
16.8%

Draw
23.5%

Petrolul Ploieşti
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.4%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

17.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academica Recea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academica Recea's form might have worsened.

Petrolul Ploieşti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petrolul Ploieşti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academica Recea than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academica Recea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (-27.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petrolul Ploieşti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Academica Recea - Petrolul Ploieşti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group)).

Comuna Recea is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ploiesti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ploiesti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ploiesti is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academica Recea
Romanian Cup
07.10.20	Baia Mare - Academica Recea	Comuna Recea awarded ✺
Romanian Division 2
03.10.20	Academica Recea - U Craiova 1948	3:3 ✺
26.09.20	Academica Recea - Rapid Bucureşti	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	CSM Slatina - Academica Recea	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Academica Recea - Viitorul Târgu Jiu	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 ?TWLL
- Petrolul Ploieşti
Club Friendly
09.10.20	Sepsi OSK - Petrolul Ploieşti	5:4 ✺
Romanian Division 2
03.10.20	Viitorul Târgu Jiu - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Petrolul Ploieşti - Dunărea Călărași	0:1 ✺
21.09.20	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:2 ✺
15.09.20	Petrolul Ploieşti - Ripensia Timișoara	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLWW

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