Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:15	FOX Sports 2
Austria	21:15	Laola1
Croatia	21:15	SportKlub 8
Ecuador	14:15	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	21:15	Laola1
Italy	21:15	Como TV
Portugal	20:15	Canal 11
Russia	22:15	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Slovakia	21:15	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Slovenia	21:15	SportKlub 5
Switzerland	21:15	LAOLA1
Usa	15:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 6


	Académica Coimbra		Amarante

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.40	3.25
	1.98	3.20	3.30
	1.87	3.35	3.50
	2.02	3.32	3.85
	2.01	3.33	3.46
	1.93	3.20	3.80
	1.97	3.26	3.83
	2.04	3.40	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)	3.31 ↓ (3.55)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
46.5%

Draw
27.7%

Amarante
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

26.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-2%)

Académica Coimbra - Amarante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Macedo N. (G) 92. Coundoul A. 15. Kaka 13. Kauan 54. Ni Rodrigues 25. Pierre L. 19. Rodrigues A. 5. Silva L. (C) 20. Sinisterra J. 2. Xavi Grande 8. Zohi K.	51. Fernandes D. (G) 88. Alves R. 14. Arome 2. Cunha G. 4. Filipe J. 5. Joao Ricardo 3. Mendes F. 85. Nito 28. Pereira D. 78. Silva B. 8. Tokinho Doria
Substitutes
98. Alves C. (G) 10. Faure I. 23. Gomes R. 22. Lopes H. 7. Mane A. 17. Marcos Paulo 46. Nunes H. 4. Silva G. 9. Tavares M.	91. Almeida R. 15. Beirao R. 9. Cardoso F. 7. Ferreira L. 1. Flores R. (G) 6. Guedes R. 23. Ikugar K. 20. Machado L. 26. Zangre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Silva B. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Cunha G. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Simao S. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Rodrigues A. ⚽,
66', 3 - 2, Nunes H. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Académica holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Académica has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Académica against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Académica Coimbra - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.06%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
11.10.26	Leiria - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.09.26	Real SC - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.26	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLL
- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.26	Amarante - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Ponte da Barca - Amarante	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.26	Amarante - Leiria	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Leixões - Amarante	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Amarante - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.26	Académica Coimbra - Amarante	1:1
29.03.26	Amarante - Académica Coimbra	1:1
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Amarante - Académica Coimbra	1:0

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