Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Amarante

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.1	3.7
	2.01	3.18	4.17
	1.93	3.33	3.99	Watch
	1.95	3	3.75
	2.03	3.33	3.64	Watch
	1.63	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.73)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	3.91 ↓ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
47.7%

Draw
28.9%

Amarante
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

27.6%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

28.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académica Coimbra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Académica Coimbra - Amarante Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Académica will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Alves C. (G) 2. Baixinho M. 28. Cascavel 18. Cuba 11. Farias E. 15. Kaka 17. Marcos Paulo 6. Montez A. 5. Silva L. (C) 3. Teixeira R. 19. Xavier	1. Duarte M. (G) 6. Almeida F. 4. Filipe J. 5. Innusah H. 3. Mendes F. 28. Pedro R. 10. Rodrigues D. 23. Saint-Louis J. 80. Ventura 22. Vivas S. 8. Zangre A.
Substitutes
9. Barbosa N. 21. Candeias D. 49. Joao Pedro . Karseladze J. 1. Macedo N. (G) . Passos G. . Silva G. 93. Souza B. 7. Tiago Andre	88. Aguiar E. 30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 90. Arome 7. Conceicao M. 13. Flores R. (G) 58. Meireles A. 2. Ribeiro O. 99. Roger 71. Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Cuba ⚽, Cascavel (A),
43', 1 - 1, Ventura ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Xavier ↓, Souza B. ↑,
68', Rodrigues D. ↓, Arome ↑,
71', Cascavel ↓, Candeias D. ↑,
71', Marcos Paulo ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
79', Innusah H. ↓, Meireles A. ↑,
79', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
81', Kaka ↓, Tiago Andre ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Académica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Amarante is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Académica has had a series of away games.

Recently, Amarante has had a series of home games.

In this match, Académica is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Académica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
04.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Amarante - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Trofense - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWW
- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
04.04.26	Amarante - Varzim	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Amarante - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	União de Santarém - Amarante	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Amarante - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
29.03.26	Amarante - Académica Coimbra	1:1
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Amarante - Académica Coimbra	1:0

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