Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Amarante		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.00	2.75
	2.52	3.05	2.75
	2.65	3.03	2.84
	2.59	3.06	2.79	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.75
	2.59	3.02	2.72
	2.47	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.59)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)	2.76 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
36.1%

Draw
30.5%

Portimonense
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Amarante - Portimonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th and 11th).

In recent outings, Amarante has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Portimonense has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Ponte da Barca - Amarante	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.26	Amarante - Leiria	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Leixões - Amarante	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Amarante - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Vizela - Amarante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLWT
- Portimonense SC
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Castro Daire - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.26	Portimonense - Tondela	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Portimonense - Leixões	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Benfica B - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLT

Amarante - Portimonense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide