Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Académico de Viseu		Cova De Piedade

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.75
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.05	2.9	3.75
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.14	3.15	4.02
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	2.05	3.22	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.86)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.73 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
45.1%

Draw
30.1%

Cova De Piedade
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.6%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

18.4%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Cova De Piedade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Académico de Viseu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cova De Piedade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Académico de Viseu - Cova De Piedade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Viseu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cova De Piedade is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viseu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Viseu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Viseu won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Viseu won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.20	Académico de Viseu - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Académico de Viseu - Leixões	1:1 ✺
27.09.20	Arouca - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
24.09.20	Académico de Viseu - Estoril Praia	0:2 ✺
19.09.20	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTTLL
- Cova De Piedade
Taça de Portugal
11.10.20	GRAP - Cova De Piedade	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.20	Cova De Piedade - Arouca	0:2 ✺
27.09.20	Chaves - Cova De Piedade	1:0 ✺
23.09.20	Cova De Piedade - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
19.09.20	Covilhã - Cova De Piedade	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
13.12.19	Académico de Viseu - Cova De Piedade	4:1
Club Friendly
06.07.19	Cova De Piedade - Académico de Viseu	0:1
Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.19	Cova De Piedade - Académico de Viseu	2:1
08.12.18	Académico de Viseu - Cova De Piedade	0:0
18.03.18	Académico de Viseu - Cova De Piedade	1:0
29.10.17	Cova De Piedade - Académico de Viseu	0:0
21.05.17	Académico de Viseu - Cova De Piedade	2:2

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