Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Mafra		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.5
	2.75	2.87	2.4
	2.9	3	2.55
	3.08	2.97	2.67
	3	2.9	2.59	Watch
	2.8	3	2.38
	2.92	3.08	2.51
	2.9	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	2.52 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
32%

Draw
31.1%

Académico de Viseu
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

30.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Mafra - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraisl M. (G) 18. Fabinho 4. Passi B. 66. Capitao D. 5. Beni D. 3. Chriso 20. Maiga Y. 19. Iheanacho S. 9. Nibe A. 15. Guilherme (C) 90. Etim F.	75. Gril D. (G) 28. Bandarra M. 2. Michelis N. 25. Aidara M. 55. Gomes H. 16. Mane S. 14. Messeguem S. 7. Yuri Araujo (C) 10. Quizera F. 11. Ott G. 33. Andre Clovis
Substitutes
10. Fale M. 80. Goncalves V. 45. Kamara A. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 7. Matos R. 6. Pereira P. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 25. Trindade T.	4. Almeida A. 9. Almeida D. 34. Marinelli A. 88. Marquinho 58. Matheus Sampaio (G) 66. Milioransa I. 17. Mortimer N. 3. Pinto J. 78. Silva B.
Coaches
Ferreira T.	Ferreira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Maiga Y. 🟨,
38', Messeguem S. ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
39', Maiga Y. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
45+10', 0 - 1, Fabinho (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Yuri Araujo 🟨,
56', Yuri Araujo ↓, Silva B. ↑,
70', Guilherme ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
70', Nibe A. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
70', Quizera F. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
70', Bandarra M. ↓, Almeida D. ↑,
70', Andre Clovis ↓, Marquinho ↑,
82', Gril D. 🟨,
83', 0 - 2, Marquinho ⚽,
85', Iheanacho S. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
85', Beni D. ↓, Matos R. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.24	Felgueiras - Mafra	1:1 ✺
28.10.24	Mafra - Leiria	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Porto B - Mafra	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.10.24	Mafra - Alverca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWTLT
- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.24	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Penafiel - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Académico de Viseu - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Felgueiras - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Tondela - Académico de Viseu	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.04.24	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	0:1
10.12.23	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	1:1
12.03.23	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	2:0
17.09.22	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	2:0
30.01.22	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	0:0
22.08.21	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	1:3
07.02.21	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	2:0

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