Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	ZAP
Usa	15:30	beIN Connect


	Académico de Viseu		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	3.40	Watch
	2.20	3.30	3.20
	2.28	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.16	3.47	3.59
	2.26	3.43	3.14	Watch
	2.12	3.40	3.55
	2.13	3.55	3.45	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.29)	3.42 ↑ (3.39)	3.32 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
43.7%

Draw
27.8%

Estoril Praia
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Académico de Viseu - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Viseu will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Estoril will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viseu: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Viseu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Viseu (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Viseu (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Academico Viseu (2.30) (votes: 78%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Viseu (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Ewerton (G) 75. Robinho 41. Correia A. 2. Michelis N. 3. Brau M. 8. Kahraman C. 7. Silva L. (C) 47. Gohi L. 14. Messeguem S. 31. Joao Guilherme 33. Andre Clovis	1. Robles J. (G) 35. Amissah S. 5. Tsoungui A. 6. Sintes X. 2. Sanchez R. 44. Robin M. 10. Holsgrove J. 21. Jurisic R. 99. Guitane R. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 7. Lacximicant A.
Substitutes
9. Bouldini M. 6. Ceitil A. 21. Domingos T. 18. Ferreira C. 57. Gu Costa 1. Lavin M. (G) 45. Mestanza A. 22. Mortimer N. 77. Paulinho 5. Pedro Barcelos 44. Pereira R. 10. Zamora A.	42. Arnolin J. 90. Brito T. 9. Camblan A. 22. Carvalho P. 4. Ferro 3. Medrano F. 11. Omerovic N. 19. Parente T. 17. Peixinho 43. Smythe-Lowe F. (G) 16. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Pinheiro B.	Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Kahraman C. ⚽, Correia A. (A),
31', Kahraman C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Robin M. ↓, Omerovic N. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Guitane R. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
61', Messeguem S. 🟨,
67', Gohi L. ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
67', Kahraman C. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
73', Correia A. 🟨,
74', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
74', Jurisic R. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
84', Joao Guilherme ↓, Zamora A. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Messeguem S. ⚽, Mestanza A. (A),
89', Sintes X. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
90+4', Messeguem S. ↓, Ferreira C. ↑,
90+4', Andre Clovis ↓, Paulinho ↑,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 18th in the Relegation - Liga Portugal 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 2.

Viseu has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Estoril has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Doubtful / questionable for Estoril: Andreou S. (Inactive) Garcia F. (Injury).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Viseu has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Viseu against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Academico Viseu	9	5	2	2	13:11	2	17
18	Estoril	9	0	2	7	5:15	-10	2

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Academico Viseu: 0.42% Estoril: 0.29%

Last Results with these Odds

Académico de Viseu - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 41.3%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Liga Portugal
20.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Académico de Viseu - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Gil Vicente - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Porto	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWWLT
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
20.09.26	Estoril Praia - Casa Pia	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Braga - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Estoril Praia - Arouca	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Benfica - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
01.12.22	Académico de Viseu - Estoril Praia	3:2
Portuguese Liga 2
16.02.21	Estoril Praia - Académico de Viseu	3:0
24.09.20	Académico de Viseu - Estoril Praia	0:2
03.11.19	Estoril Praia - Académico de Viseu	3:1
05.05.19	Estoril Praia - Académico de Viseu	1:3
18.11.18	Académico de Viseu - Estoril Praia	1:2
Club Friendly
25.07.15	Académico de Viseu - Estoril Praia	1:1

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