The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acassuso 33.8%
Draw 31.7%
Argentino de Merlo 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
29.5%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
31.3%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acassuso's form might have worsened.
Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentino de Merlo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acassuso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Acassuso - Argentino de Merlo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dominguez J. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Serrizuela J. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 7. Ramirez U. 5. De Stefano D. 8. Dubini K. (C) 10. Hermoso A. 11. Habib T. 9. Escalante D.
1. Atamanuk C. (G) 4. Marcial C. 2. Zarate E. 6. Gimenez C. 3. Lopez V. 8. Ledesma M. I. 5. Romero L. 10. Scisci G. 11. Guerra A. 9. Scarnato L. (C) 7. Salvador A.
Substitutes
13. Dordoni B. 20. Hernandez B. 16. Mino L. 14. Ponce J. 15. Robles E. 19. Santaliz T. 17. Scacchi S. 12. Tursi F. (G) 18. Veron L.
16. Gaitan T. 17. Gomez M. 19. Maldonado F. 18. Ortiz J. 14. Sanchez B. 15. Sanchez de Leon J. 12. Vaccaneo M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Escalante D. ⚽,
26', Romero L. 🟨,
44', Marcial C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Scarnato L. ↓, Mariani B. ↑,
64', Guerra A. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
64', Scisci G. ↓, Maldonado F. ↑,
69', Escalante D. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
69', Dubini K. ↓, Dordoni B. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Mariani B. ⚽,
75', Ramirez U. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
77', Hermoso A. 🟨,
80', Robles E. 🟨,
84', Dordoni B. 🟨,
86', Ruiz A. ↓, Veron L. ↑,
86', Hermoso A. ↓, Mino L. ↑,
89', Romero L. ↓, Sanchez de Leon J. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).
Acassuso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Argentino de Merlo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Acassuso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Acassuso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).