The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 37.7%
Draw 33.8%
Argentino de Merlo 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
31%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
31%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino de Merlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino de Merlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brown de Adrogué - Argentino de Merlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G) 9. Baez B. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 3. Guerrero B. 11. Lopez B. 6. Pieres M. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. 8. Silva J. 10. Sproat M. (C)
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 9. Aguirre D. E. 2. Cohen E. 3. Lopez V. 8. Medina C. 5. Paz Sierra L. 7. Salvador A. 10. Scisci G. 11. Sellecchia F. 6. Tamborelli E. 4. Ursino D.
Substitutes
12. Bourquin J. (G) 14. Cesare L. 19. Ferrario F. 16. Galeano V. 17. Gonzalez A. 18. Gonzalez L. 20. Meaurio N. 15. Patrizio T. 13. Rodriguez N.
15. Cacace J. . Gomez R. 18. Jerez T. 13. Lopez F. 20. Maldonado F. 14. Marcial C. 19. Ortiz J. 12. Oviedo G. (G) 17. Romero L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Baez B. ⚽,
45+1', Pieres M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Baldunciel L. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 13).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
19
Brown Adrogue
38
8
15
15
24:37
-13
39
Last Results with these Odds
Brown de Adrogué - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.