The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acassuso 40.3%
Draw 32.7%
Argentino de Quilmes 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
31.3%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
29.7%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acassuso's form might have worsened.
Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acassuso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Quilmes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.4%
8.7%
73.9%
Acassuso - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Acassuso will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Argentino de Quilmes will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Argentino de Quilmes: 59.8% – 94.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Argentino de Quilmes will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Acassuso (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Argentino de Quilmes (votes: 15 - 88.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dominguez J. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Filippetto E. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 7. Ramirez U. 5. De Stefano D. 8. Dubini K. (C) 10. Hermoso A. 11. Habib T. 9. Escalante D.
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 4. Guzman L. 2. Castano S. 6. Pedrosa G. (C) 3. Velozo G. 8. Molina J. 5. Filosa L. 10. Maidana C. 11. Alfonso S. 9. Torancio E. 7. Mino B.
Substitutes
13. Dordoni B. 20. Hernandez B. 17. Mino L. 19. Nicolaievsky F. 14. Ponce J. 15. Robles E. 16. Santaliz T. 18. Scacchi S. 12. Tursi F. (G)
12. Busto F. (G) 18. Centurion F. 20. Di Marco V. 14. Escudero L. 13. Filliol F. 19. Guzman M. 15. Martin A. 17. Nasello A. 16. Ortiz A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Torancio E. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, De Stefano D. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Dubini K. (Pen),
32', 3 - 1, Escalante D. ⚽,
41', Castano S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Maidana C. ↓, Escudero L. ↑,
46', Alfonso S. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
46', Molina J. ↓, Centurion F. ↑,
46', 4 - 1, Escalante D. ⚽,
49', Ramirez U. 🟨,
50', 4 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽,
55', Filosa L. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
56', 🟨,
57', Etcheverri R. 🟨,
57', Torancio E. 🟨,
65', Hermoso A. ↓, Nicolaievsky F. ↑,
65', Ramirez U. ↓, Mino L. ↑,
72', Hernandez B. 🟨,
76', 5 - 2, Habib T. ⚽,
80', De Stefano D. ↓, Santaliz T. ↑,
81', Habib T. 🟨,
83', Pedrosa G. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
86', Filippetto E. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 0.
Acassuso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Argentino de Quilmes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Acassuso might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Acassuso won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Argentina
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Dominguez J. (G) 
Nasello A. 
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