Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Acassuso		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.92	3.55
	2.16	2.84	3.71
	2.06	3.19	3.47	Watch
	2.17	3.08	3.37
	1.97	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.01)	3.07 ↓ (3.33)	3.52 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acassuso
43.9%

Draw
30%

Sacachispas
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.9%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Acassuso - Sacachispas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dominguez J. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Serrizuela J. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 10. Hermoso A. 5. Samudio D. 8. Dubini K. 7. Mino L. 11. Habib T. 9. Escalante D.	1. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 4. Romero K. 2. Agorreca N. 6. Buonofiglio A. 3. Cruz A. 8. Monje A. 5. Priori R. 10. Hector Canteros 11. Campuzano C. 7. Martinez J. 9. Arrieta S.
Substitutes
19. Gonzalez B. 18. Hernandez B. 14. Nicolaievsky F. 13. Penalva V. 16. Raccio J. 15. Ramirez U. 20. Rey L. 17. Scacchi S. 12. Tursi F. (G)	12. Barreiro E. 14. Barreiro E. 19. Brotzman S. 15. Molina D. 13. Moschen E. 20. Toldo F. 18. Torres L. 17. Villalba J. 16. Visco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Romero K. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Arrieta S. ⚽,
30', Agorreca N. 🟨,
31', Hermoso A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Samudio D. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
73', 🟨,
82', 0 - 2, Priori R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Acassuso might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Acassuso won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Sacachispas - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.33%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
30.08.25	Deportivo Merlo - Acassuso	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Acassuso - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Villa San Carlos - Acassuso	2:4 ✺
08.08.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	UAI Urquiza - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWT
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
29.08.25	Sacachispas - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Argentino de Merlo - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Sacachispas - Argentino de Quilmes	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Villa Dálmine - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sacachispas - Deportivo Flandria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
22.04.25	Sacachispas - Acassuso	1:1
02.09.24	Sacachispas - Acassuso	1:2
24.04.24	Acassuso - Sacachispas	2:1
08.07.23	Sacachispas - Acassuso	0:0
11.03.23	Acassuso - Sacachispas	0:0
02.10.21	Acassuso - Sacachispas	1:1
07.06.21	Sacachispas - Acassuso	4:1

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