Match Info

Primera B - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: La Quema Stadium (Boulogne Sur Mer)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America


	Acassuso		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.72	2.35	Watch
	3.45	2.6	2.44
	3.43	2.59	2.41	Watch
	3.3	2.63	2.38
	3.44	2.61	2.35
	3.33	2.66	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (4.34)	2.64 ↓ (3.02)	2.37 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acassuso
26.9%

Draw
34.6%

Real Pilar
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

30.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

30.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Acassuso's performance.

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Pilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Acassuso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Pilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Acassuso - Real Pilar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tursi F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Pioli L. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 5. De Stefano D. 8. Dubini K. 11. Habib T. 10. Hermoso A. 7. Rey L. 9. Escalante D.	1. Cano M. (G) 4. Leguiza D. 2. Otermin A. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Franco E. 5. Rios N. 8. Govi G. 10. Gomez M. 7. Martin B. 9. Moran J. 11. Crocco M.
Substitutes
12. Dominguez J. (G) 14. Dordoni B. 19. Gomez Y. 18. Mino B. 16. Raccio J. 15. Robles E. 17. Scacchi S. 20. Senn F. 13. Serrizuela J.	16. Barreiro A. 15. Chambi L. 13. Fantino L. 14. Monge L. 20. Ochoa J. 18. Riquelme M. D. 19. Risso B. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 17. Vidal N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ruiz A. 🟨,
34', De Stefano D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Martin B. ↓, Chambi L. ↑,
66', Habib T. ↓, Senn F. ↑,
70', Ghiraldello J. 🟨,
72', Crocco M. 🟨,
74', Moran J. ↓, Riquelme M. D. ↑,
74', Crocco M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
74', Leguiza D. ↓, Monge L. ↑,
75', Rey L. ↓, Mino B. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 2).

In recent matches, Acassuso has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Pilar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Pilar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Acassuso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
02.12.25	Acassuso - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Villa San Carlos - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Acassuso	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Acassuso - Villa Dálmine	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Deportivo Flandria - Acassuso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLTW
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
29.11.25	Real Pilar - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Deportivo Flandria - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Liniers - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Real Pilar - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Deportivo Armenio - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
08.08.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	1:0
22.03.25	Real Pilar - Acassuso	2:0

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