Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 1
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Deportivo Merlo		Acassuso

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.72	2.92	Watch
	2.67	2.68	3.05
	2.55	2.74	3.03	Watch
	2.62	2.62	2.8
	2.61	2.77	2.89
	2.68	3.04	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.63)	2.76 ↓ (3.2)	2.88 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
34.8%

Draw
33.2%

Acassuso
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

29.1%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Deportivo Merlo - Acassuso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Acassuso (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Acassuso (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez P. (G) 8. Arellano L. 11. Benega S. 9. Cao R. 4. Ferreyra F. 10. Gonzalez F. 6. Jimenez A. 5. Mendez M. 3. Ordano A. 7. Rapp A. 2. Sineiro C.	1. Dominguez J. (G) 8. Dubini K. 9. Escalante D. 6. Ghiraldello J. 11. Habib T. 7. Mino B. 4. Ponce J. 5. Ramirez U. 10. Rey L. 3. Ruiz A. 2. Serrizuela J.
Substitutes
20. Benitez B. 14. Curima C. 12. Ferrara G. (G) 18. Meza A. 15. Ojeda G. 13. Perez S. 16. Quinteros E. 17. Sosa S. 19. Zeineddin N.	13. Dordoni B. 19. Gonzalez B. 20. Hernandez B. 16. Nicolaievsky F. 14. Penalva V. 18. Raccio J. 12. Ramondino J. 15. Santaliz T. 17. Scacchi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
65', Ramirez U. ↓, Nicolaievsky F. ↑,
69', Arellano L. ↓, Ojeda G. ↑,
69', Benega S. ↓, Quinteros E. ↑,
72', Habib T. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
72', Mino B. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Escalante D. ⚽,
77', Ferreyra F. ↓, Curima C. ↑,
77', Rapp A. ↓, Meza A. ↑,
79', Rey L. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
79', Jimenez A. 🟨,
81', Serrizuela J. 🟨,
82', Gonzalez F. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
88', 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Sosa S. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Quinteros E. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1.

Deportivo Merlo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Acassuso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
23.08.25	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Merlo	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Merlo	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Merlo	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Deportivo Merlo - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTT
- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
23.08.25	Acassuso - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Villa San Carlos - Acassuso	2:4 ✺
08.08.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	UAI Urquiza - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Acassuso - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
12.04.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo	1:0
07.09.24	Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo	0:1
20.04.24	Deportivo Merlo - Acassuso	0:0
23.09.23	Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
20.05.23	Deportivo Merlo - Acassuso	0:2
11.06.22	Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
12.02.22	Deportivo Merlo - Acassuso	1:0

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