Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 22

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Acero		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.3
	2.15	2.6	3.3
	2.16	2.59	3.31
	2.2	2.97	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.42)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	3.33 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acero
40.8%

Draw
32.5%

Elche Ilicitano
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

33%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

34.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acero than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Acero - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Acero won 0.

Acero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ilicitano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ilicitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Acero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Acero won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Acero won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Acero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.02.23	Español de San Vicente - Acero	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	Acero - Levante B	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Acero - Silla	1:3 ✺
29.01.23	Torrent - Acero	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Acero - Torrellano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLW
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
18.02.23	Elche Ilicitano - Silla	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Torrent - Elche Ilicitano	1:0 ✺
03.02.23	Elche Ilicitano - Torrellano	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Elche Ilicitano - Hércules B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.10.22	Elche Ilicitano - Acero	0:0
01.05.22	Elche Ilicitano - Acero	2:0
02.01.22	Acero - Elche Ilicitano	2:2
15.02.20	Elche Ilicitano - Acero	0:0
10.03.19	Elche Ilicitano - Acero	2:2
31.10.18	Acero - Elche Ilicitano	1:1

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