Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday


	Elche Ilicitano		Hércules B

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.25
	1.78	3.15	3.75
	2.04	2.9	3.35
	1.98	2.93	3.77
	2.04	3.04	3.56
	2.05	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.97)	2.99 ↓ (3)	3.55 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
44.8%

Draw
30%

Hércules B
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

30.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

29.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hércules B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules B than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Elche Ilicitano - Hércules B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilicitano won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ilicitano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ilicitano won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilicitano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.01.23	Villarreal C - Elche Ilicitano	0:1 ✺
07.01.23	Atzeneta - Elche Ilicitano	3:1 ✺
17.12.22	Elche Ilicitano - Gandía	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Patacona - Elche Ilicitano	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	Elche Ilicitano - Castellon B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLW
- Hércules B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.01.23	Hércules B - Español de San Vicente	0:0 ✺
07.01.23	Hércules B - Acero	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Silla - Hércules B	2:2 ✺
10.12.22	Hércules B - Torrent	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Torrellano - Hércules B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.09.22	Hércules B - Elche Ilicitano	1:2
05.01.22	Hércules B - Elche Ilicitano	2:2
04.09.21	Elche Ilicitano - Hércules B	1:1
14.02.21	Elche Ilicitano - Hércules B	1:0
22.11.20	Hércules B - Elche Ilicitano	2:2
06.10.19	Elche Ilicitano - Hércules B	0:0

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