Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Rayo Ibense		Utiel

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.13
	3.43	2.88	2.15
	3.47	2.99	2.15
	3.41	3.02	2.11
	3.4	2.95	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.84)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	2.13 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Ibense
26.6%

Draw
30.8%

Utiel
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

28.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Ibense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Utiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Ibense - Utiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Rayo Ibense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Utiel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Utiel is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rayo Ibense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Ibense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.02.25	Rayo Ibense - Soneja	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Castellon B - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
08.02.25	Rayo Ibense - Torrellano	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Saguntino - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Rayo Ibense - Crevillente Deportivo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWLW
- CD Utiel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
23.02.25	Utiel - Roda	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Soneja - Utiel	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Utiel - Villarreal C	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Castellon B - Utiel	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Utiel - Atzeneta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
20.10.24	Utiel - Rayo Ibense	3:1
25.11.23	Rayo Ibense - Utiel	0:2

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