Match Info
Serie D - Group I - Round 13Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Acireale |
|
Castrumfavara |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.05 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.38 |
3.16 |
2.80 |
 Watch |
 |
2.37 |
3.02 |
2.87 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.3) |
3.08 ↓
(3.15) |
2.82 ↑
(2.78) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Acireale
38.3% | Draw
29.5% | Castrumfavara
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acireale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (+0.9%)The ML Model estimate for Castrumfavara aligns with the current prediction.Acireale - Castrumfavara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Piazza A. ⚽,
- 18', 0 - 2, Vaccaro F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', 1 - 2, Lo Faso S. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 12).Acireale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Castrumfavara is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Castrumfavara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Acireale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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