Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Adama City		Sidama Coffee

	1	X	2
	3.55	2.78	2.12
	3.71	2.91	2.11	Watch
	3.6	2.75	2.05
	3.9	2.91	2.13
	3.6	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (3.69)	2.87 ↑ (2.83)	2.1 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adama City
24.8%

Draw
31.8%

Sidama Coffee
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.7%

32.2%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

31.5%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sidama Coffee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sidama Coffee than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Adama City - Sidama Coffee Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sidama Coffee will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sidama Coffee: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sidama Coffee (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Tafesse M. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Tafesse M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, Sani A. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Kassim M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 2.

Recent performances by Adama City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sidama Coffee is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sidama Coffee is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Adama City	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
18	Sidama Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Last Results with these Odds

Sidama Coffee - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.14%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
08.01.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Adama City - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
30.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Adama City - Mechal	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Adama City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLT
- Sidama Coffee FC
Ethiopian Premier League
08.01.26	Sidama Coffee - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Hadiya Hossana - Sidama Coffee	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Sidama Coffee	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Saint George	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
10.03.25	Sidama Coffee - Adama City	0:0
07.02.25	Adama City - Sidama Coffee	0:0
19.05.24	Adama City - Sidama Coffee	2:1
09.01.24	Sidama Coffee - Adama City	0:0
25.04.23	Adama City - Sidama Coffee	3:1
07.11.22	Sidama Coffee - Adama City	2:0
30.04.22	Adama City - Sidama Coffee	1:1

Adama City - Sidama Coffee