Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Adama City		Fasil Kenema

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.42	2.4
	3.8	2.39	2.47	Watch
	3.25	2.45	2.45
	3.52	2.47	2.43	Watch
	4.2	2.22	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.97)	2.39 ↓ (2.83)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Adama City
24.9%

Draw
38%

Fasil Kenema
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

32.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

32.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adama City's form might have worsened.

Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adama City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Adama City - Fasil Kenema Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 1.

Adama City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fasil Kenema is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fasil Kenema will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	0	55
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	-4	46

Last Results with these Odds

Adama City - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.98%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
30.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Adama City - Mechal	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Adama City	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Adama City - Saint George	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ethio Electric - Adama City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWT
- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
29.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
24.12.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Fasil Kenema	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
15.06.25	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	2:2
21.10.24	Adama City - Fasil Kenema	1:1
19.04.24	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	0:0
10.02.24	Adama City - Fasil Kenema	1:1
08.03.23	Adama City - Fasil Kenema	2:1
03.10.22	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	2:1
20.06.22	Adama City - Fasil Kenema	0:2

Adama City - Fasil Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide