Match Info
Premier League - Round 14Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday
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Welwalo Adigrat |
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Adama City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.1 |
2.58 |
2.52 |
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 |
3.16 |
2.56 |
2.63 |
 Watch |
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3.1 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
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3.06 |
2.62 |
2.55 |
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3.14 |
2.62 |
2.54 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↓
(3.66) |
2.56 ↓
(2.78) |
2.55 ↑
(2.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Welwalo Adigrat
29.1% | Draw
35.4% | Adama City
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adama City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adama City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 0.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Welwalo Adigrat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 46 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 30.04.25 | Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat | 1:1 | | 05.01.25 | Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City | 0:3 | | 16.02.20 | Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat | 2:0 | | 01.06.19 | Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City | 1:1 | | 23.01.19 | Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat | 1:0 | | 28.01.18 | Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat | 3:0 |
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