Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Northern NSW - Round 17

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday


	Adamstown Rosebud		Lake Macquarie City

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.1	3.3	Watch
	1.8	4.2	3.3
	1.8	4.2	3.3	Watch
	1.82	4.8	3.11
	1.59	4.77	4
	1.75	4.2	3.3
	1.78	4.25	3.36	Watch
	1.81	4.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)	4.34 ↑ (4)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adamstown Rosebud
51.8%

Draw
21%

Lake Macquarie City
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

16.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adamstown Rosebud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Lake Macquarie City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adamstown Rosebud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lake Macquarie City than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lake Macquarie City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adamstown Rosebud - Lake Macquarie City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Lawther D. (Pen),
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone NPL Northern NSW (Relegation) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Northern NSW State League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adamstown Rosebud won 3.

Recent matches Adamstown Rosebud is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lake Macquarie has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Adamstown Rosebud have a series of guest games.

Adamstown Rosebud will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Adamstown Rosebud won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Adamstown Rosebud won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
22.06.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	2:7 ✺
18.06.24	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	1:2 ✺
12.06.24	Lake Macquarie City - Adamstown Rosebud	1:3 ✺
29.05.24	Edgeworth Eagles - Adamstown Rosebud	7:0 ✺
26.05.24	Charlestown Azzurri - Adamstown Rosebud	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLL
- Lake Macquarie City FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
22.06.24	Lake Macquarie City - New Lambton	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Lake Macquarie City - Valentine Phoenix	0:2 ✺
12.06.24	Lake Macquarie City - Adamstown Rosebud	1:3 ✺
07.06.24	Cooks Hill United - Lake Macquarie City	4:1 ✺
24.05.24	Broadmeadow Magic - Lake Macquarie City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
12.06.24	Lake Macquarie City - Adamstown Rosebud	1:3
04.06.23	Lake Macquarie City - Adamstown Rosebud	4:1
17.03.23	Adamstown Rosebud - Lake Macquarie City	3:2
03.08.22	Lake Macquarie City - Adamstown Rosebud	0:1
07.05.22	Adamstown Rosebud - Lake Macquarie City	1:2
29.05.21	Adamstown Rosebud - Lake Macquarie City	1:3
05.08.20	Lake Macquarie City - Adamstown Rosebud	2:1

Adamstown Rosebud - Lake Macquarie City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide