Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Adana 1954		Kastamonuspor

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	4.95
	1.49	3.88	6.41
	1.86	3.32	4.02	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.5
	1.63	3.82	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)	3.58 ↑ (3.14)	5.16 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adana 1954
56.7%

Draw
25.5%

Kastamonuspor
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.3%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adana 1954 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adana 1954's performance.

Kastamonuspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kastamonuspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adana 1954 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adana 1954 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Adana 1954 - Kastamonuspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Ayaroglu H. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Taylan Y. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

Adana 1954 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kastamonuspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Adana 1954 is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Adana 1954 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Adana 1954 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Kastamonuspor	5	2	0	3	4:13	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adana 1954 FK
Turkish Second League White Group
22.02.26	Şanlıurfaspor - Adana 1954	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Adana 1954 - Karaman Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Adana 1954	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Adana 1954 - Batman Petrolspor	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Altınordu - Adana 1954	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTTW
- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League White Group
22.02.26	Kastamonuspor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Iskenderunspor - Kastamonuspor	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Kastamonuspor - Erbaaspor	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	İnegölspor - Kastamonuspor	2:2 ✺
28.01.26	Kastamonuspor - Kepez Belediyesi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
19.10.25	Kastamonuspor - Adana 1954	1:0
16.02.25	Adana 1954 - Kastamonuspor	0:0
06.10.24	Kastamonuspor - Adana 1954	2:0

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