The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adana Demirspor 10.2%
Draw 13.9%
Hatayspor 75.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.7%
22.6%
61.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
17.1%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adana Demirspor's form might have worsened.
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hatayspor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adana Demirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-29.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hatayspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Hatayspor will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Adana Demirspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hatayspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Fidan E. (G) 21. Karayigit K. 3. Kaya H. A. 23. Demirkiran Y. 77. Kaynak O. 6. Kaban C. 2. Demirtas E. 22. Tunc G. 16. Kucuk K. 7. Gulay S. 28. Kavrazli S. (C)
34. Saricali D. (G) 17. Alici K. (C) 15. Yilmaz B. 95. Buz Y. A. 31. Matur O. 61. Parmak A. 6. Sarka B. 20. Yildiz A. 5. Saglam G. 18. Durmushan U. 9. Aksoy D.
Substitutes
66. Aktas H. E. 4. Atay A. 20. Birinci A. A. 26. Dubus D. A. 97. Ergen M. 25. Eser M. (G) 17. Menemencioglu M. 24. Sarikaya A. 88. Saygan K. 14. Yavuz D.
66. Abdulkadir A. 19. Aksu C. B. 33. Aydemir E. 98. Aydin S. M. 78. Daduk E. (G) 97. Sen M. 68. Topal A. 70. Tuna Y. (G) 77. Uzel B.
Coaches
Kubilayhan Y.
Alas G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Parmak A. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Kavrazli S. ⚽, Tunc G. (A),
40', Kaynak O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Durmushan U. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
53', Saglam G. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Demirkiran Y. ⚽, Kavrazli S. (A),
57', Yildiz A. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
62', Aksoy D. 🟨,
62', Gulay S. 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Saglam G. ⚽,
69', Kaynak O. 🟨,
77', Tunc G. ↓, Menemencioglu M. ↑,
82', Alici K. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
83', Demirtas E. ↓, Aktas H. E. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Kavrazli S. ⚽,
90', Kucuk K. ↓, Dubus D. A. ↑,
90+1', Menemencioglu M. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 3, Buz Y. A. ⚽, Matur O. (A),
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 2.
Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
In this match, Hatayspor is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Adana Demirspor: Fidan A.
(Suspended)
Gurol Y.
(Suspended)
Timur B.
(Suspended)
There will not play in Hatayspor: Demir C.
(Suspended)
Temel S.
(Suspended)
There are questionable in Hatayspor: Hodzic A.
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Adana Demirspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
Asia
Turkey
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Fidan E. (G) 
