Match Info

1. Lig - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Artun E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Adana Demirspor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.5	1.25	Watch
	9.91	6.08	1.26
	8.64	5.03	1.31	Watch
	8.95	5.15	1.29
	7.75	4.9	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.95 ↑ (7.9)	5.33 ↑ (5)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adana Demirspor
10.4%

Draw
17.4%

Sakaryaspor
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.4%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

17.6%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Adana Demirspor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Sakaryaspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Eser M. (G) 21. Karayigit K. 43. Fidan A. 6. Kaban C. 23. Demirkiran Y. 77. Kaynak O. 7. Gulay S. 22. Tunc G. 17. Menemencioglu M. 30. Gurol Y. 28. Kavrazli S. (C)	29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 24. Dursun S. 5. Ciftpinar S. 22. Okumus A. 7. Demir M. 44. Vukovic J. 12. Ben Yedder W. 77. Erdogan E. 54. Coban B. 10. Kakuta G.
Substitutes
66. Aktas H. E. 18. Bolat A. 2. Demirtas E. 26. Dubus D. A. 1. Durmaz M. (G) 73. Duyur S. 16. Kucuk K. 24. Sarikaya A. 88. Saygan K. 8. Timur B.	3. Acil O. 36. Altiparmak B. 61. Bayram A. 34. Baytekin G. (G) 4. Cakir B. 8. Cihan M. 25. Demir A. 14. Demir E. 96. Kobiljar R. 94. Tuzcu D.
Coaches
Palaz K.	Sutlu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Ben Yedder W. (Pen),
37', 0 - 2, Ben Yedder W. ⚽, Okumus A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', Gulay S. 🟨,
57', 0 - 3, Coban B. ⚽,
60', 0 - 4, Ben Yedder W. ⚽,
69', Coban B. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
69', Ciftpinar S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
69', Gulay S. ↓, Bolat A. ↑,
69', Gurol Y. ↓, Dubus D. A. ↑,
77', Erdogan E. ↓, Bayram A. ↑,
77', Demir M. ↓, Demir A. ↑,
78', Karayigit K. ↓, Demirtas E. ↑,
78', Tunc G. ↓, Kucuk K. ↑,
78', Menemencioglu M. ↓, Saygan K. ↑,
83', Vukovic J. ↓, Altiparmak B. ↑,
88', 0 - 5, Kakuta G. ⚽,
90', 0 - 6, Demir A. ⚽, Ben Yedder W. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Adana Demirspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sakaryaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sakaryaspor is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Altiparmak B. (Suspended) Sanli B. (Inactive) Turken A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adana Demirspor
Turkish First League
04.10.25	Pendikspor - Adana Demirspor	3:0 ✺
29.09.25	Adana Demirspor - Sarıyer	0:3 ✺
25.09.25	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Adana Demirspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Bodrumspor - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
05.10.25	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Amed SK	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WTLWT

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