Match Info

1. Lig - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Hatayspor		Pendikspor

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.75	1.25	Watch
	9.43	5.29	1.25
	8.96	5.61	1.3
	6.46	4.79	1.40	Watch
	9.31	5.47	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.53 ↑ (6.46)	5.18 ↑ (4.79)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
10.8%

Draw
17.9%

Pendikspor
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

19.4%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

18.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Pendikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Hatayspor - Pendikspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Pendikspor will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pendikspor: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Pendikspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Saricali D. (G) 17. Alici K. 3. Kilama G. 55. Hodzic A. 95. Buz Y. A. 61. Parmak A. 2. Corekci K. 20. Yildiz A. 5. Saglam G. 18. Durmushan U. 31. Matur O.	1. Dilmen D. (G) 23. Gokce E. 88. Fidan Y. 4. Soldo V. 6. Sequeira 17. Karademir A. 41. Ozdemir M. 10. Wilks M. 18. Akman H. 8. Denic D. 9. Clarke-Harris J.
Substitutes
67. Abdulkadir A. 65. Aksu C. B. 33. Aydemir E. 98. Aydin S. M. 78. Daduk E. (G) 6. Sarka B. 97. Sen M. 68. Topal A. 77. Uzel B. 15. Yilmaz B.	12. Bitin G. 66. Dogan F. 60. Karadeniz B. 70. Kitsiou S. 30. Koyuncu E. (G) 34. Rogerio Thuram 20. Safin E. 5. Sulungoz B. 81. Tekdal T. 77. Ugur A.
Coaches
Alas G.	Ucar U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Matur O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Akman H. ↓, Karadeniz B. ↑,
46', Karademir A. ↓, Rogerio Thuram ↑,
46', Corekci K. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
55', Kilama G. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Clarke-Harris J. (Pen),
66', Yildiz A. ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
72', Hodzic A. ↓, Sarka B. ↑,
73', Uzel B. 🟨,
76', Buz Y. A. 🟨,
82', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Kitsiou S. ↑,
82', Gokce E. ↓, Sulungoz B. ↑,
85', Kitsiou S. 🟨,
89', Parmak A. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
89', Wilks M. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
90+4', Sarka B. 🟨,
90+4', Fidan Y. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Hatayspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pendikspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Pendikspor is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Bekaj V. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B. (Inactive) Colak M. (Inactive) Mulele Lomboto A. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hatayspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish First League
08.11.25	Amed SK - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Hatayspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hatayspor - Çorum	1:4 ✺
05.10.25	Bodrumspor - Hatayspor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLL
- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
09.11.25	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	İstanbulspor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Pendikspor - Çorluspor	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
25.10.25	Pendikspor - Serik Belediyespor	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Vanspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Hatayspor - Pendikspor	1:1
12.08.23	Pendikspor - Hatayspor	1:5
Turkish Second League White Group
07.02.16	Pendikspor - Hatayspor	1:1

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