Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Referee: Gokcen O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sarıyer		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.77	3.4	3.9
	1.9	3.47	3.61
	1.94	3.57	3.9
	1.94	3.37	3.81	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.82
	1.81	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.96)	3.47 ↓ (3.49)	3.81 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
49.3%

Draw
26.5%

Sakaryaspor
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Sarıyer will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uysal A. (G) 13. Berber O. 14. Mert M. 3. Djilobodji P. (C) 5. Korkmazoglu E. 6. Traore H. 19. Bayram O. 17. Aydogmus B. 7. Regattin A. 8. Mert M. 9. Dembele P. M.	29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 24. Dursun S. 14. Demir E. 22. Okumus A. 7. Demir M. 44. Vukovic J. 8. Cihan M. 54. Coban B. (C) 5. Ciftpinar S. 10. Kakuta G.
Substitutes
97. Akyuz F. (G) 10. Anziani J. 15. Babacar K. 70. Camara M. 11. Koc A. 2. Kurucuk F. 4. Ozer F. 80. Urie A. 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 22. Yilmaz O.	3. Acil O. 11. Akuazaoku U. 61. Bayram A. 34. Baytekin G. (G) 12. Ben Yedder W. 4. Cakir B. 25. Demir A. 77. Erdogan E. 96. Kobiljar R. 94. Tuzcu D.
Coaches
Vural Y.	Sutlu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Regattin A. (Pen),
19', Vukovic J. 🟨,
20', Coban B. 🟨,
37', Ciftpinar S. 🟨,
38', Traore H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mert M. ↓, Yesilyurt H. E. ↑,
46', Cihan M. ↓, Erdogan E. ↑,
46', Aydogmus B. ↓, Anziani J. ↑,
46', Demir E. ↓, Ben Yedder W. ↑,
46', Dursun S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Erdogan E. ⚽, Okumus A. (A),
64', Dembele P. M. ↓, Babacar K. ↑,
70', Yavuz S. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
74', Erdogan E. 🟨,
75', Djilobodji P. ↓, Urie A. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽,
81', Bayram O. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
83', Berber O. 🟨,
88', Demir M. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Akuazaoku U. ⚽, Coban B. (A),
90+1', Akuazaoku U. 🟨,
90+7', Babacar K. (Pen),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 1.

Sarıyer has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sakaryaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sarıyer is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sarıyer: Eksioglu B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Altiparmak B. (Suspended) Sanli B. (Inactive) Turken A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
29.09.25	Adana Demirspor - Sarıyer	0:3 ✺
25.09.25	Amed SK - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sarıyer - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Sivasspor - Sarıyer	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Sarıyer - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
29.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Amed SK	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sakaryaspor - Boluspor	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
22.01.22	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	4:1
12.09.21	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	2:0
Turkish Second League Play Offs
21.05.19	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	0:0
17.05.19	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	4:0
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.19	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	1:1
08.09.18	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	1:2

Upcoming Matches