Match Info

1. Lig - Round 8

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Ulker H. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sakaryaspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.86	3.28	2.28
	3.04	3.4	2.37
	2.99	3.42	2.23	Watch
	2.92	3.25	2.31
	3.33	3.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	3.35 (3.35)	2.25 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
30.8%

Draw
27.8%

Sivasspor
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

27.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.2%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sakaryaspor (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 24. Dursun S. 26. Kolovetsios D. 94. Tuzcu D. 7. Demir M. 44. Vukovic J. 8. Cihan M. 54. Coban B. 14. Demir E. 10. Kakuta G.	35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 2. Appindangoye A. 3. Erdogan O. 58. Ciftci U. (C) 6. Yigiter O. 80. Celik C. 9. Luan 15. Fidan K. 27. Ethemi V. 14. Boke T.
Substitutes
3. Acil O. 11. Akuazaoku U. 61. Bayram A. 34. Baytekin G. (G) 12. Ben Yedder W. 4. Cakir B. 5. Ciftpinar S. 77. Erdogan E. 96. Kobiljar R. 22. Okumus A.	22. Abdullah Cakmak A. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 5. Basyigit E. 20. Celik M. 8. Charisis C. 19. Gokay E. 17. Kesgin K. 23. Kimpioka B. 12. Malle A. 26. Yildirim M.
Coaches
Sutlu S.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Yigiter O. 🟨,
27', Kakuta G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tuzcu D. ↓, Okumus A. ↑,
59', Erdogan O. ↓, Celik M. ↑,
60', Yigiter O. ↓, Charisis C. ↑,
62', Demir E. ↓, Erdogan E. ↑,
62', Cihan M. ↓, Ben Yedder W. ↑,
64', Paluli M. 🟨,
67', Boke T. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
68', Ethemi V. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
75', Demir M. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
81', Coban B. 🟨,
81', Fidan K. ↓, Gokay E. ↑,
83', Coban B. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
90+2', Luan 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 14)

Sakaryaspor has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sivasspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sivasspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sivasspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Erkin C. (Red Card) Turken A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Pritchard A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sivasspor: Abdullah Cakmak A. (Injury) Avramovski D. (Injury) Menderes C. (Finger Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
25.09.25	Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Amed SK	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sakaryaspor - Boluspor	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Bodrumspor - Sakaryaspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWTLL
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
25.09.25	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Vanspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sivasspor - Sarıyer	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Pendikspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Amed SK - Sivasspor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWLL

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