Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ozdamar E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Adana Demirspor		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.6	Watch
	4.8	4.1	1.62
	4.78	4.31	1.61	Watch
	5.29	4.18	1.6	Watch
	4.8	4	1.62
	5.19	4.43	1.65	Watch
	4.78	4.31	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↓ (5.01)	4.19 ↓ (4.56)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adana Demirspor
19.3%

Draw
22.5%

İstanbul Başakşehir
58.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.8%

20.6%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

21.8%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adana Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbul Başakşehir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	17.6%	52.9%

Adana Demirspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Adana Demirspor will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Donmezer D. (G) 99. Kurtulan A. 4. Guler S. (C) 55. Kalender T. 23. Burak A. 16. Celik I. 58. Maestro 60. Demirbag O. 11. Barasi Y. 80. Kol A. 17. Aymbetov A.	16. Sengezer M. (G) 5. Duarte L. (C) 15. Gureler H. 3. Opoku J. 6. Lima L. 4. Ergun O. 23. Turuc D. 8. Kemen O. 13. Crespo M. 91. Davidson 9. Piatek K.
Substitutes
22. Aktas A. 10. Alioui N. 8. Aydogan T. 21. Balat B. 24. Ersoy B. 25. Eser M. (G) 28. Kavrazli S. 87. Kaynak O. 15. Manev J. 29. Shehu F.	1. Babacan V. (G) 17. Beyaz O. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 22. Djalo M. 25. Figueiredo J. 75. Kaplan E. 11. Keny P. P. 2. Ozdemir B. 14. Pelkas D.
Coaches
Dalci M.	Atan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Crespo M. 🟨,
22', Opoku J. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Davidson ⚽, Kemen O. (A),
45+2', Kemen O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ergun O. ↓, Ozdemir B. ↑,
59', Demirbag O. ↓, Kaynak O. ↑,
59', Crespo M. ↓, Figueiredo J. ↑,
73', Ozdemir B. 🟨,
74', Kol A. ↓, Aydogan T. ↑,
75', Barasi Y. ↓, Alioui N. ↑,
81', Kemen O. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
85', Duarte L. ↓, Kaplan E. ↑,
90+7', Sengezer M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Başakşehir is a favorite.

There will not play in Adana Demirspor: Gravillon A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Başakşehir: Gurler S. (Injury) Ozcan B. (Injury) Sahiner O. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:24 (average 1:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Adana Demirspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:14 (average 1.6:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adana Demirspor
Turkish Super League
23.12.24	Hatayspor - Adana Demirspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
19.12.24	Kırklarelispor - Adana Demirspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.12.24	Adana Demirspor - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Göztepe - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.24	Adana Demirspor - Sebat Gençlik	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WLWLW
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
23.12.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kasımpaşa	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	Cercle Brugge - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
15.12.24	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
08.12.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
26.05.24	Adana Demirspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:6
06.01.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Adana Demirspor	0:0
03.06.23	Adana Demirspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:3
09.01.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Adana Demirspor	2:1
19.03.22	Adana Demirspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1
01.11.21	İstanbul Başakşehir - Adana Demirspor	2:1
Turkish Cup
18.12.18	İstanbul Başakşehir - Adana Demirspor	2:0

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